SENTIMENT INDICATORS

Ratin / 17 Sep 2026 / Categories: Flash News Investment App, Regular Column

SENTIMENT INDICATORS

This indicator measures the percentage of Nifty 50 stocks that are trading above/below their 200-day simple moving averages

200-DMA INDICATOR[EasyDNNnews:PaidContentStart]

The 200-day moving average setup weakened sharply between September 9, 2026, and September 16, 2026, indicating further deterioration in market breadth. The percentage of Nifty 50 stocks trading above their 200-DMA declined from 34 per cent to 18 per cent, while the proportion of stocks trading below this key long-term average increased from 66 per cent to 82 per cent. During the same period, the Nifty corrected by 0.95 per cent, suggesting that weakness continued to spread across index constituents. With more than four-fifths of Nifty 50 stocks now trading below their 200-DMA, the long-term market structure remains under significant pressure. At the stock level, Tech Mahindra emerged as the only major constituent to move above its 200-DMA, indicating limited pockets of strength in an otherwise weak market environment. On the other hand, Adani Enterprises, Adani Ports, Bajaj Finserv, Eicher Motors, Hindalco Industries, ICICI Bank, InterGlobe Aviation, JSW Steel, and Shriram Finance slipped below their respective long-term moving averages. The higher number of negative crossovers highlights the broad-based weakening in Large-Cap participation and reflects the lack of sustained buying interest across key sectors. Overall, the latest reading points towards a significant decline in the Nifty 50’s long-term breadth profile, with the percentage of stocks trading above the 200-DMA falling well below the crucial 50 per cent mark. The increase in stocks trading below their long-term averages indicates that market recovery attempts continue to face selling pressure. For the breadth structure to improve, a larger number of index constituents will need to reclaim their 200-DMAs, while recent breakdowns among major stocks will need to reverse in the coming sessions.

SECTORAL SENTIMENT INDICATOR

The sectoral 200-DMA breadth as of September 16, 2026, indicates a significant deterioration in market participation, with weakness spreading across most major sectors. The decline in the percentage of stocks trading above their long-term moving averages highlights increasing pressure on sectoral breadth, while only a few segments managed to show stability. The sharpest deterioration was visible in the Nifty Metal, Financial Services, Realty, and PSU Bank indices, reflecting reduced participation across key cyclical and financial segments. Among the major sectoral indices, Nifty IT emerged as the strongest segment, with 60 per cent of its constituents trading above the 200-DMA, improving by 10 percentage points during the period. Nifty FMCG and Nifty Pharma also maintained relatively better breadth, with 46.67 per cent and 60 per cent of their constituents, respectively, trading above their long-term averages. Nifty Media remained unchanged at 33.33 per cent, indicating a lack of improvement in participation. The financial space witnessed mixed trends during the period. Nifty Bank saw its breadth decline by 25 percentage points, with only 33.33 per cent of constituents trading above their 200-DMA. Nifty Financial Services recorded a sharp decline of 20 percentage points, with breadth falling to 20 per cent, highlighting weakness across financial stocks. Nifty Private Bank also weakened, declining by 10 percentage points, with only 40 per cent of constituents sustaining above their longterm averages. Nifty PSU Bank witnessed a further decline of 16.67 percentage points, with breadth slipping to 33.33 per cent. Among other sectors, Nifty Metal recorded the steepest deterioration, with the percentage of stocks above the 200-DMA falling by 46.67 percentage points to 50 per cent. Nifty Realty also witnessed a sharp decline of 30 percentage points, with only 16.67 per cent of constituents trading above their long-term averages. Nifty Auto declined by 6.67 percentage points, while Nifty Media and Nifty Pharma remained relatively stable. Overall, sectoral breadth weakened further during the period, with selling pressure becoming more visible across financial, metal, and realty segments. While IT and select defensive sectors showed comparatively better resilience, broader participation remains limited. A sustained improvement in the number of stocks reclaiming their 200-DMAs, particularly across cyclical and financial sectors, will be important for a meaningful recovery in the overall market structure.

Indicator To Gauge Internal Strength

This indicator evaluates the underlying strength of the broader market by tracking the number of Nifty 500 stocks touching fresh 52-week highs and fresh 52-week lows. A rise in stocks making new highs along with a moderation in fresh lows generally reflects improving market breadth and stronger participation. On the other hand, a decline in new highs combined with an increase in new lows indicates weakening internal strength and rising selling pressure across individual stocks. According to the latest reading, the Nifty 500 declined from 22,958.75 on September 9, 2026, to 22,532 on September 16, 2026, registering a fall of 1.86 per cent. During the same period, the number of stocks touching fresh 52-week highs declined from 5 to 0, while the number of stocks making fresh 52-week lows decreased from 5 to 3. The latest data indicates weakening momentum in broader market participation, as the decline in the index was accompanied by a complete absence of stocks entering fresh high territory. The drop in new highs suggests that buying interest has narrowed significantly, with fewer stocks showing relative strength during the ongoing correction. However, the reduction in fresh lows indicates that downside pressure has moderated slightly across some sections of the market. Overall, the latest reading points towards a cautious market structure, with the Nifty 500 witnessing a decline while breadth indicators reflect reduced participation on the upside. The absence of fresh 52-week highs highlights the lack of strong leadership, although the decline in new lows provides some stability. A sustained improvement in market breadth would require a revival in stocks making new highs along with continued moderation in fresh low formation.

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