Markets End The Week On A Flat Note
DSIJ Intelligence / 31 May 2013

The markets witnessed lacklustre movement during the week. This changed on Friday, though, after the markets witnessed a sell-off after the May series expiry on Thursday, May 30.
The markets witnessed lacklustre movement during the week. This changed on Friday, though, after the markets witnessed a sell-off after the May series expiry on Thursday, May 30. During the week, both the Sensex and the Nifty remained flat, witnessing gains of a mere 0.28% and 0.04% respectively.
| Benchmark Indices | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Index | 31-May-13 | 24-May-13 | % Change |
| SENSEX | 19760.3 | 19704.33 | 0.28 |
| NIFTY | 5985.95 | 5983.55 | 0.04 |
| Hang Seng | 22392.16 | 22618.67 | -1.00 |
| Nikkei | 13774.54 | 14612.45 | -5.73 |
| Shanghai Comp | 2300.59 | 2288.53 | 0.53 |
| Dow Jones* | 15324.53 | 15294.5 | 0.20 |
| S&P 500* | 1654.41 | 1650.51 | 0.24 |
| NASDAQ* | 3491.3 | 3459.42 | 0.92 |
| Bovespa* | 54634.69 | 56349.91 | -3.04 |
| FTSE | 6588.38 | 6696.79 | -1.62 |
| DAX | 8321.39 | 8351.98 | -0.37 |
| CAC | 3959.03 | 3967.15 | -0.20 |
The major event for the week on the domestic front was the Q4FY13 GDP numbers announcement on Friday, May 31. India's GDP for the fourth quarter of FY13 has managed to show a slight growth to 4.8%. This matches the estimates of a Reuters poll of economists. The central statistics office also revised the Q3 GDP growth to 4.7% against the provisional figure of 4.5% reported earlier. The markets, however, have not shown even the slightest positive reaction, indicating that the figure of 4.8% has been fully discounted.
During the quarter, the Agriculture sector has recorded growth of 1.4% against 1.8% in Q3. Mining has seen a decline of 3.1% from -0.7% in Q3. The manufacturing sector has seen some respite, with a growth of 2.6% against 0.1% a year ago and 2.5% in Q3FY13.
On the global front, the US economy grew at an annualised rate of 2.4% in the first three months of the year 2013. This figure is slightly slower than the 2.5% rate originally estimated for the quarter, which can be attribute to higher consumer spending, which was stronger than the expectations. However, economists were of the opinion that the GDP growth may witness some slowdown in the next 3 months.
On the Asian front, the Nikkei fell by more than 5% this week. Japan had seen extraordinary movement starting last fall, thanks to the new PM Shinzo Abe's new aggressive stimulus campaign hailed as "Abenomics",. But lately things have been fairly disastrous. Among the concerns are that of a sharp rise in bond yields.
On the domestic front, the RBI has tightened its rules for restructuring of most types of loans in line with global practices. As per the latest RBI notification, provisioning on the newly restructured account has been raised to 5% from June 1 from 2% as it currently stands. However, this will be done in a phased manner for the old restructured accounts. The RBI also said that existing "regulatory forbearance" would no longer be available from April 1, 2015.
| Key Commodity Indicators | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Index | 31-May-13 | 24-May-13 | % Change |
| Gold | 27207 | 26302 | 3.44 |
| Silver | 44250 | 43242 | 2.33 |
| Crude Oil (Brent) | 101.62 | 102.32 | -0.68 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | 92.92 | 97.7 | -4.89 |
West Texas Intermediate crude headed for a third weekly decline after the US stockpiles climbed to the highest levels in more than 80 years by 3 million barrels last week to 397.6 million. Among metals, gold saw some buying in India as the precious metal gained by more than 3% in this week. Gold and silver were up by 3.44% and 2.33% respectively.
| Sectoral Indices | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Category/Index | 31-May-13 | 24-May-13 | % Change |
| Broad | |||
| MIDCAP | 6389.47 | 6387.13 | 0.04 |
| SMLCAP | 5943.46 | 5992.46 | -0.82 |
| BSE-100 | 5991.11 | 6003.89 | -0.21 |
| BSE-200 | 2409.22 | 2410.64 | -0.06 |
| BSE-500 | 7441.89 | 7448.78 | -0.09 |
| Sectoral Indices | |||
| IT | 6065.34 | 5954.82 | 1.86 |
| FMCG | 6772.13 | 6659.84 | 1.69 |
| TECk | 3602.53 | 3560.64 | 1.18 |
| CD | 7695 | 7433.09 | 3.52 |
| METAL | 8503.01 | 8657.35 | -1.78 |
| AUTO | 11166.34 | 10873.02 | 2.70 |
| BANKEX | 14261.24 | 14591.54 | -2.26 |
| HC | 8846.91 | 8729.72 | 1.34 |
| PSU | 6655.84 | 6677.58 | -0.33 |
| OIL&GAS | 8654.79 | 8569.29 | 1.00 |
| POWER | 1755.12 | 1746.93 | 0.47 |
| CG | 9407.38 | 9589.01 | -1.89 |
| REALTY | 1684.92 | 1797.62 | -6.27 |
The broader markets closed the week on a flat note. The BSE Mid-Cap closed with gains of 0.04%, while the BSE Small-Cap declined by 0.82%. On a sectoral basis, 8 out of the 13 indices closed the week in positives. The BSE Consumer Durables Index was the main gainer, closing higher by 3.52%. Following this was the BSE Auto index (+2.70%) and BSE IT index (+1.86%). The main draggers for the week were the BSE Realty index (-6.27), BSE Bankex index (-2.26) and BSE Capital Goods index (-1.89%).
The monetary inflows from FIIs remained strong last week. FIIs bought equities worth a whopping Rs 19678 crore during the week. On a YTD basis, the FIIs have pumped in Rs 80851 crore in the Indian equity markets. DIIs ended the week in the red, selling equities worth Rs 3301 crore.
With the March quarter results season drawing to a close, the markets are now eyeing the RBI meet that is scheduled for the second week of June. Otherwise, the markets are likely to trade in a volatile zone, largely taking cues from the global developments.
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