BUY
₹3,436
₹3,620.2
₹4,000
16.41%
In its July 30, 2026 results update, Motilal Oswal Financial Services reiterated its BUY recommendation on Ajanta Pharma after a stronger-than-expected 1QFY27. Revenue, EBITDA and adjusted PAT exceeded the broker's estimates by 7 per cent, 9 per cent and 11 per cent, respectively.
The performance was driven principally by strong growth in India, the US and Africa, partly offset by weakness in Asia. Motilal Oswal largely maintained its FY27E and FY28E estimates and expects market-share gains, product launches, geographic expansion and currency tailwinds to support earnings over FY26-28.
Ajanta Pharma reported 1QFY27 revenue growth of 24.8 per cent year on year to Rs 1,626 crore. EBITDA rose 20.6 per cent year on year to Rs 454 crore, while adjusted for the net forex gain, PAT increased 19.4 per cent year on year to Rs 320 crore.
| Metric | 1QFY27 reported | Motilal Oswal estimate | Variance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Rs 1,626 crore | Rs 1,515 crore | 7% ahead |
| EBITDA | Rs 454 crore | Rs 418 crore | 9% ahead |
| Adjusted PAT | Rs 320 crore | Rs 290 crore | 11% ahead |
Gross margin expanded 100 basis points year on year to 80 per cent, helped by product and geographical mix. EBITDA margin nevertheless declined 100 basis points year on year to 27.9 per cent, as other expenses and employee expenses increased by 200 basis points and 20 basis points, respectively, as a percentage of sales. Lower R&D expenditure, down 20 basis points as a percentage of sales, partly offset the cost pressure.
India sales grew 24 per cent year on year to Rs 509 crore, representing 31 per cent of sales. Volume growth and new launches were running at about 1.4 times and 1.8 times the Indian pharmaceutical market, respectively.
Ajanta Pharma's chronic-focused portfolio contributes around 65 per cent of India sales and spans cardiac, ophthalmic and dermatology therapies, supporting prescription stickiness. The company has 17 brands with sales above Rs 25 crore, a field force of more than 3,750 medical representatives and launched eight products in 1QFY27. Management expects better field-force productivity and deeper therapy penetration to support continued growth.
US generics sales grew 57 per cent year on year to Rs 487 crore, or 30 per cent of revenue, aided partly by favourable currency movement and stronger traction in existing products. Ajanta Pharma launched two products and received three ANDA approvals during 1QFY27, taking commercialised ANDAs to 51.
The pipeline included 17 ANDAs awaiting approval and five tentative approvals. Management expects mid-single-digit US growth in FY27 because of price erosion and new-launch dynamics. Most new launches are expected in 4QFY27, subject to FDA approvals. The report notes plans for 8-12 ANDA filings in FY27, while detailed management commentary guides for 5-7 filings.
Africa branded-generics revenue increased 29 per cent year on year to about Rs 290 crore, supported by leadership in key molecules and expansion across markets. Africa institutional sales rose 84 per cent to Rs 70 crore.
Asia branded-generics revenue fell 16 per cent year on year to Rs 255 crore because of geopolitical disruption. Management nevertheless expects mid-to-high-teen Asia growth in FY27, high-double-digit growth in African branded generics and high-teen consolidated revenue growth. Management also sees scope to scale Semaglutide in Asia and Africa following regulatory approvals.
| Guidance item | FY27 outlook |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 78 per cent plus or minus 100 basis points |
| EBITDA margin, excluding forex impact | 27 per cent plus or minus 1 per cent |
| R&D as a percentage of revenue | 5 per cent |
| Effective tax rate | 26 per cent |
| Capex | About Rs 400 crore, including Rs 300 crore for Pithampur expansion |
Motilal Oswal forecasts FY26-28 revenue, EBITDA and PAT CAGR of 15 per cent, 16 per cent and 16 per cent, respectively. Its FY28E forecasts are revenue of Rs 7,230 crore, EBITDA of Rs 2,040 crore and adjusted PAT of Rs 1,430 crore.
| Business segment | FY26-28E CAGR | FY28E revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Domestic formulations | 16 per cent | Rs 2,230 crore |
| Asia and Africa | 17.5 per cent | Rs 3,030 crore |
| US generics | 11.3 per cent | Rs 1,930 crore |
Motilal Oswal values Ajanta Pharma at 32 times 12-month forward earnings to derive its Rs 4,000 target price.
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