Buy
₹592
₹655.9
₹835
41.05%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services (MOFSL), in its August 14, 2026 1QFY27 results update on Brigade Enterprises, reiterates its Buy view. The broker sees a healthy medium-term growth outlook, supported by the company's land bank, forthcoming business development opportunities, substantial residential launch pipeline and growing annuity portfolio.
MOFSL expects recent commercial launches to drive a sharp ramp-up in annuity assets over the next four to five years, creating steadier medium- to long-term cash flows.
| Metric | Details |
|---|---|
| Recommendation | Buy |
| Report CMP | Rs 592 |
| Target price / estimated NAV | Rs 835 per share |
| Implied upside | 41 per cent |
| Residential NAV discount | Approximately 60 per cent |
MOFSL values Brigade Enterprises using a sum-of-the-parts approach. Residential discounted cash flows are valued at NAV using an 11.0 per cent WACC, commercial office and retail assets are valued using FY28E capitalisation rates of 7.5-8.5 per cent, and hotels are valued at 15 times FY28E EV/EBITDA, adjusted for BEL's stake.
Residential pre-sales were lukewarm in 1QFY27. Brigade Enterprises reported pre-sales of Rs 1,060 crore, down 5 per cent year on year and 10 per cent below MOFSL's estimate, with sales mainly supported by sustenance sales.
Consolidated collections increased 7 per cent year on year to Rs 1,860 crore, while cash flow from operations rose 10 per cent to Rs 350 crore. Management maintained its FY27 pre-sales guidance of Rs 9,000 crore.
The company plans approximately 12.36 million square feet of launches with gross development value of Rs 13,000 crore over the next four quarters. This includes 9.36 million square feet and Rs 10,000 crore of gross development value during the balance of FY27. A Mysuru project with gross development value of Rs 300 crore was launched after 1QFY27.
| Residential metric | Outlook / performance |
|---|---|
| 1QFY27 pre-sales | Rs 1,060 crore; down 5 per cent year on year |
| FY27 pre-sales guidance | Rs 9,000 crore |
| Launches over next four quarters | Approximately 12.36 million square feet |
| Gross development value over next four quarters | Rs 13,000 crore |
| MOFSL pre-sales forecast | 16 per cent CAGR during FY26-FY28E to Rs 10,000 crore |
| MOFSL residential collections forecast | 14 per cent CAGR during FY26-FY28E to Rs 7,200 crore |
The annuity segment delivered healthy performance. Leasing revenue increased 9 per cent year on year to Rs 330 crore in 1QFY27, with EBITDA of Rs 230 crore and a 70 per cent margin. Portfolio occupancy was 89 per cent.
Retail footfalls rose 11 per cent and retail sales grew 35 per cent year on year. Brigade Enterprises launched five commercial projects aggregating about 4 million square feet in Bengaluru and Hyderabad. It also entered a strategic partnership with Bain Capital for an approximately 2 million square feet mixed-use development in Whitefield, Bengaluru.
MOFSL estimates lease rentals will grow at a 9 per cent CAGR over FY26-FY28E to Rs 1,600 crore.
Management said leasing at WTC Bengaluru has been delayed by the Middle East conflict, particularly for larger tenant transactions. The company is pursuing smaller deals and aims to substantially complete leasing over the next three to four quarters.
Hospitality subsidiary BHVL reported 1QFY27 revenue of Rs 140 crore, up 3 per cent year on year, and EBITDA of Rs 45 crore. Average room rate was Rs 7,241, up 7 per cent, while occupancy was 76 per cent.
BHVL has 1,604 keys and nine hotels with 1,700 keys at the planning stage. Management said the Middle East crisis reduced foreign-traveller business by about 10 per cent, partly offset by domestic travellers. However, 2Q trends were encouraging, with a stronger recovery expected from 3Q.
The rebranding of Sheraton Infopark Hotel, Kochi, as Courtyard by Marriott Infopark, Kochi, temporarily reduced occupancy. Occupancy has since recovered, and management expects a 15-20 per cent improvement in ADR.
At the consolidated level, 1QFY27 revenue declined 13 per cent year on year to Rs 1,120 crore and was 17 per cent below MOFSL's estimate. EBITDA increased 12 per cent to Rs 360 crore, 16 per cent above estimate, with the margin improving to 32.4 per cent. Adjusted PAT rose 5 per cent to Rs 160 crore.
| Financial metric | 1QFY27 | Year-on-year / estimate comparison |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Rs 1,120 crore | Down 13 per cent year on year; 17 per cent below estimate |
| EBITDA | Rs 360 crore | Up 12 per cent year on year; 16 per cent above estimate |
| EBITDA margin | 32.4 per cent | Improved |
| Adjusted PAT | Rs 160 crore | Up 5 per cent year on year |
| Net debt | Rs 2,220 crore | Down Rs 60 crore quarter on quarter |
| Net debt-to-equity | 0.26 times | — |
Management expects higher-margin project recognition to sustain profitability improvement through FY27.
MOFSL cut its FY27E and FY28E revenue estimates by 1 per cent. Pre-sales estimates were reduced by 2 per cent and 6 per cent, respectively. However, EBITDA estimates were raised by 3 per cent, while adjusted PAT estimates were increased by 2 per cent for FY27E and 4 per cent for FY28E.
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