BUY
₹627
₹655.9
₹750
19.62%
Geojit Investments Limited retained its BUY rating on Brigade Enterprises Ltd. after the Q1 FY27 update, with a target price of Rs 750. The broker describes the quarter as soft for pre-sales because there were no major launches, but highlights stronger realisations, a sharp recovery in real estate margins and a substantial Bengaluru and Hyderabad launch pipeline as key supports for the investment case.
Geojit expects the pipeline to lift sales volumes from Q2, while leasing income should continue to benefit from contractual escalations and renewal spreads.
Brigade reported Q1 FY27 pre-sales of Rs 1,061 crore, down 5 per cent year-on-year, as sales volume fell 22 per cent to 0.74 million square feet. Realisations increased 21 per cent year-on-year to a record Rs 14,256 per square foot, supported by price increases in ongoing projects and a richer product mix. Collections rose 7 per cent year-on-year to Rs 1,856 crore.
Business development added 2.7 million square feet during Q1 FY27, primarily in Hyderabad, with a gross development value of Rs 2,400 crore.
| Q1 FY27 metric | Reported | Year-on-year change |
|---|---|---|
| Pre-sales | Rs 1,061 crore | Down 5% |
| Sales volume | 0.74 million sq. ft. | Down 22% |
| Realisation | Rs 14,256 per sq. ft. | Up 21% |
| Collections | Rs 1,856 crore | Up 7% |
| Revenue from operations | Rs 1,115 crore | Down 13% |
| Consolidated EBITDA | Rs 361 crore | Up 11% |
| Reported PAT | Rs 217 crore | Up 37% |
| Adjusted PAT | Rs 200 crore | Up 34% |
Consolidated revenue from operations declined 13 per cent year-on-year to Rs 1,115 crore, reflecting the mix of projects reaching revenue recognition. Consolidated EBITDA increased 11 per cent year-on-year to Rs 361 crore, with the EBITDA margin expanding to 32 per cent from 25 per cent a year earlier. Real estate EBITDA margin improved to 21 per cent from 12 per cent. Reported PAT grew 37 per cent year-on-year to Rs 217 crore, while adjusted PAT increased 34 per cent to Rs 200 crore.
The leasing business recorded revenue of Rs 328 crore, up 9 per cent year-on-year, with a 70 per cent EBITDA margin. Portfolio occupancy was 88 per cent, gross leasing was 0.22 million square feet and rental collections were 99 per cent. Geojit notes that large-format office demand remains slow, despite the income benefits from escalations and renewal spreads.
Hospitality revenue was Rs 144 crore and EBITDA was Rs 45 crore. Portfolio average room rate increased 7 per cent year-on-year to Rs 7,241, while occupancy was 76 per cent.
Management reduced FY27 launch guidance to 9.36 million square feet from about 11.5 million square feet after Brigade Morgan Heights in Chennai was removed from launch guidance. The SEIAA revoked the project's environmental clearance, homebuyers have been refunded and the matter is before the High Court. Management retained its pre-sales guidance.
Brigade's next-four-quarter launch pipeline stands at 16.39 million square feet, including 12.36 million square feet of residential projects with a gross development value of about Rs 13,400 crore.
Geojit cut its FY27E and FY28E revenue estimates by 3 per cent and 9 per cent, respectively. Adjusted PAT estimates were reduced by 17 per cent for FY27E and 10 per cent for FY28E.
| FY27E | FY28E | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Rs 7,195 crore | Rs 8,234 crore |
| EBITDA | Rs 2,018 crore | Rs 2,305 crore |
| Adjusted PAT | Rs 873 crore | Rs 1,189 crore |
Geojit views the balance sheet as comfortable. Cost of debt was 7.61 per cent as of June 2026, down 64 basis points year-on-year, while net debt-to-equity stood at 0.26 times.
The Rs 750 target price is based on FY28E NAV per share and incorporates a 10 per cent NAV discount.
| NAV component | Value |
|---|---|
| Residential assets | Rs 12,063 crore |
| Rental assets | Rs 15,506 crore |
| Hospitality | Rs 3,490 crore |
| Less: FY27 net debt | Rs 3,873 crore |
| NAV discount | 10 per cent |
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