enquiry@dsij.in |+91 9240904920
SENSEX-307.24
76,957.27-0.4%

Mishra Dhatu Nigam builds aerospace growth through titanium, superalloys and import substitution

Mishra Dhatu Nigam Ltd.

Broker Recommendation:

BUY

Broker: ICICI Securities / ICICI Direct Research

17 Aug 2026

Sector: Iron & Steel

Reco. Price

₹430

CMP

₹414.05

Target

₹500

Upside

16.28%

Investment View and Valuation

ICICI Direct Research’s August 17, 2026 result update retains a Buy view on Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited (MIDHANI), supported by robust order prospects, higher-value product development and increasing indigenisation in aerospace materials.

The broker’s target price is Rs 500, compared with the current market price of Rs 430. The target is based on applying a 40 times price-to-earnings multiple to FY28E earnings.

MIDHANI manufactures special steels, nickel-, iron- and cobalt-based superalloys, and titanium alloys for aerospace, defence, space and energy applications. It operates manufacturing facilities in Hyderabad, Telangana, and Rohtak, Haryana.

Q1 FY27 Financial Performance

Particular Q1 FY27 Year-on-year change Additional comparison
Operating income Rs 239.5 crore Up 40.5% Down 56.7% sequentially from Q4 FY26
Value of production Rs 260.4 crore Up 7.9%
EBITDA Rs 36.6 crore Up 7.1%
EBITDA margin 15.3% Down 475 basis points
Profit after tax Rs 16.5 crore Up 27.0%

Operating income growth was driven by improved execution. However, profitability was affected by elevated raw-material costs. Higher nickel, molybdenum and tungsten prices resulted in an estimated 13% adverse raw-material price variance, while LPG prices nearly doubled and affected LPG-fired furnaces.

Order Book and Near-Term Outlook

The order book stood at approximately Rs 2,329 crore at the end of June 2026. Defence accounted for the largest share, followed by space, energy and other sectors.

Sector Share of order book
Defence Approximately 66%
Space Approximately 21%
Energy Approximately 9%
Other sectors Approximately 4%

Management expects some margin pressure in Q2 FY27, followed by normalisation from Q3 FY27 as LPG and raw-material inflation eases. It expects FY27 revenue growth to exceed FY26 growth, although it does not consider the 40.5% Q1 FY27 revenue growth rate sustainable for the full year.

Higher-Value Products and Aerospace Opportunities

ICICI Direct highlights a favourable shift towards higher-value titanium and superalloy products, which carry better margins than lower-value products. MIDHANI’s new melting facility enabled approximately 700 tonnes of titanium melting in FY26, and the company had around Rs 600 crore of titanium orders.

  • MIDHANI secured FY27 orders for four superalloy grades and three titanium grades.
  • The company completed isothermal forging of a nickel-based superalloy for a fighter-aircraft engine using its 6,000-tonne press.
  • MIDHANI obtained its first commercial order for rolling 7,000-series aluminium alloy.

Management stated that GE’s S400 certification permits MIDHANI to provide mechanical, chemical and metallography testing to domestic and overseas customers, creating an incremental revenue opportunity. The company is pursuing NAS 410 qualification and expects to obtain NADCAP non-destructive testing certification by the end of FY27.

AMCA development orders for specialised titanium grades are under execution. Production orders are expected as the programme advances and the materials receive qualification. Management estimates that approximately Rs 8,000 crore of superalloy and steel materials are imported, with most grades already within MIDHANI’s capability. Certifications remain the key requirement for converting this import-substitution opportunity into domestic business.

Exports, Capex and Other Growth Opportunities

Additional opportunities include nuclear materials, exports and approvals from global aerospace original equipment manufacturers. Exports currently account for around 10% of turnover, with Rs 33 crore of sales and approximately Rs 25 crore of open orders so far. Management targets annual export growth of 10–15% over the next three to four years.

The proposed Rs 1,000 crore capex over two to three years is intended mainly to replace ageing equipment and improve yield, productivity and competitiveness. Full benefits are expected after four to five years.

A proposed metal bank should improve raw-material availability and reduce cost volatility. However, because the inventory will be customer-owned and stored at MIDHANI, it will not directly release working capital.

Financial Estimates

Metric ICICI Direct estimate
FY26–FY28E revenue CAGR Around 19%
FY26–FY28E EBITDA CAGR Around 28%
FY26–FY28E PAT CAGR Around 34%
FY28E revenue Rs 1,697 crore
FY28E EBITDA Rs 388 crore
FY28E EBITDA margin 22.9%
FY28E PAT Rs 234 crore

Key Risks

  • Dependence on government contracts.
  • High working-capital requirements.
  • Availability of key raw materials.
View / Download Original Research Report

Disclaimer: This is a summary of a research report published by the broker/research house identified above. The views, recommendations, target prices and estimates are those of the respective broker and do not represent DSIJ investment advice. The summary may be AI-assisted, hence please refer to the original report for complete details, disclosures and risks.