HOLD
₹129
₹166.95
₹140
8.53%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services retained its Neutral rating on Urban Company in its July 31, 2026 results update and revised its target price to Rs140. The broker believes the core marketplace is on a stronger operating footing, supported by improving India Consumer Services growth, supply densification, partner utilisation and operating leverage.
However, the core business is largely reflected in the valuation. Continued investment in InstaHelp and limited visibility on consolidated profitability through FY31 keep the risk-reward balanced.
Urban Company's 1QFY27 performance was mixed versus Motilal Oswal's estimates. Consolidated NTV and India Consumer Services NTV exceeded expectations, while InstaHelp's NTV was lower than estimated and its adjusted EBITDA loss was higher. Revenue grew 44 per cent year-on-year, while the reported adjusted PAT loss was wider than the broker's estimate.
| Metric | Reported | Motilal Oswal estimate |
|---|---|---|
| Consolidated NTV growth | 42% year-on-year | 36% year-on-year |
| India Consumer Services NTV growth | 29.4% year-on-year | 22% year-on-year |
| India Consumer Services adjusted EBITDA margin | 6.9% of NTV | 5.6% of NTV |
| InstaHelp NTV | Rs530 million | Rs600 million |
| InstaHelp adjusted EBITDA loss | Rs1.32 billion | Rs1.25 billion loss |
| Adjusted PAT | Loss of about Rs820 million | Loss of Rs570 million |
Management said 1.2 million new users were added during 1QFY27, taking quarterly additions above one million for the first time. Total orders rose 79 per cent year-on-year to 13.2 million.
Growth in the India Consumer Business was broad based across beauty, cleaning and pest control, repairs and handyman categories. NTV per annual transacting user increased about 7 per cent year-on-year to approximately Rs1,293. India Consumer Services active transacting customers reached 8.2 million, up 7.2 per cent sequentially, while take rate improved to 27.5 per cent.
Native Business NTV grew about 51 per cent year-on-year. Its adjusted EBITDA loss margin narrowed to 7.3 per cent of NTV from 11.4 per cent a year earlier. Management expects the business to approach adjusted EBITDA breakeven over the next few quarters, aided by filter-replacement revenue and operating leverage.
International NTV grew about 76 per cent year-on-year, or 58 per cent in constant currency. UAE and Singapore remained profitable, while Saudi Arabia moved closer to breakeven. Management does not plan to enter new international markets in the near term, citing management bandwidth and the opportunity in India, UAE, Singapore and Saudi Arabia.
InstaHelp remains the principal uncertainty in the investment case. Management estimates its annual NTV opportunity across the top 15 cities at Rs70 billion to Rs120 billion, based on 7 million to 12 million addressable households, 30 to 40 transactions per household annually and a steady-state average order value of around Rs300.
Motilal Oswal considers the market opportunity encouraging but identifies pricing and profitability as the key monitorables. Current InstaHelp average order value was about Rs138, materially below the roughly Rs300 level required for category breakeven. Loss per order improved sequentially to about Rs346 from Rs447, but InstaHelp continues to prioritise market leadership and management targets category breakeven only by FY31.
Structural margin limitations include seasonality, higher supply churn and lower order values than those of the core marketplace.
Urban Company maintained its guidance for consolidated adjusted EBITDA breakeven by 3QFY28 and adjusted EBITDA of about Rs10 billion by FY31. Excluding InstaHelp, adjusted EBITDA was about Rs670 million in 1QFY27, more than double the year-earlier level. Cash and treasury investments stood at Rs20.19 billion.
Motilal Oswal raised its revenue estimates on stronger India Consumer Services execution but reduced its FY27 earnings estimates to reflect higher InstaHelp investment. FY28 estimates were broadly unchanged.
| Financial year | Revenue | EBITDA | Adjusted PAT |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY27E | Rs21,639 million | Loss of Rs2,100 million | Loss of Rs1,801 million |
| FY28E | Rs27,820 million | Loss of Rs375 million | Rs203 million |
The Rs140 target price is based on a sum-of-the-parts valuation comprising 50 times FY28E EV/EBITDA for the India Consumer Business, 3 times FY28E EV/sales for Native, 2 times FY28E EV/sales for the International Business and 1.5 times FY28E EV/NTV for InstaHelp, plus cash.
Key downside factors identified by the broker are sustained elevated InstaHelp losses, slow pricing normalisation, delayed profitability and limited visibility on the pace of earnings delivery through FY31.
Disclaimer: This is a summary of a research report published by the broker/research house identified above. The views, recommendations, target prices and estimates are those of the respective broker and do not represent DSIJ investment advice. The summary may be AI-assisted, hence please refer to the original report for complete details, disclosures and risks.
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