SENTIMENT INDICATORS
Arvind DSIJ / 26 Feb 2026 / Categories: Flash News Investment App, Regular Column

This indicator measures the percentage of Nifty 50 stocks that are trading above/below their 200-day simple moving averages.
200-DMA INDICATOR [EasyDNNnews:PaidContentStart]
The 200-day moving average (DMA), a widely tracked gauge of long-term market breadth, showed a fresh softening in the Nifty 50’s internal strength in the latest week. Between February 18 and February 25, 2026, the share of constituents trading above their 200-DMA slipped from 60 per cent to 54 per cent, while those below the long-term average climbed from 40 per cent to 46 per cent. With the Nifty 50 down 1.00 per cent over the same period, the message is clear: weakness is spreading across a wider set of stocks, not just being driven by a handful of index heavyweights. Stock-level moves reinforce the cautious tone. During the week, BHARTIARTL, M&M and MARUTI slipped below their 200-DMA, highlighting that even large, liquid names are beginning to lose long-term trend support. When this happens, it often reflects fading risk appetite and a more defensive market posture, where rallies tend to narrow and selectivity becomes more important. Overall, the breadth shift calls for higher selectivity and disciplined positioning. Stick to fundamentally strong stocks that are still holding above the 200-DMA, and avoid chasing names that have slipped below it until the trend turns decisively supportive again.

SECTORAL SENTIMENT INDICATOR
The sectoral 200-day moving average (200-DMA) breadth suggests the market is no longer moving in a smooth, ‘calm consolidation’ phase. Participation has turned uneven, with weakness building in key leadership pockets even as a few segments show stability. Between February 18 and February 25, 2026, the sharpest deterioration came from Nifty Auto, where the share of stocks above the 200-DMA fell from 73.33 per cent to 60 per cent, down 13.33 percentage points. Financials also softened. Nifty Private Bank slipped from 70 per cent to 60 per cent, down 10 points, while Nifty Bank eased from 83.33 per cent to 75 per cent, down 8.33 points. This combination points to fading momentum in areas that typically carry the market when risk appetite is strong. There were, however, pockets of resilience. Nifty FMCG improved from 33.33 per cent to 46.67 per cent above the 200-DMA, up 13.33 points. Nifty Metal strengthened from 73.33 per cent to 80 per cent, up 6.67 points, and Nifty Pharma edged up from 60 per cent to 65 per cent, up 5 points. Nifty PSU Bank held steady at 75 per cent, while Nifty Financial Services remained unchanged at 65 per cent. The laggards remain clear. Nifty IT stayed at 0 per cent above the 200-DMA, meaning all constituents were below it. Nifty Realty remained the weakest, with 90 per cent stocks below the 200-DMA, while Nifty Media stayed soft with 80 per cent below. Overall, leadership is narrowing and broad based buying remains unsupported. Overall, the message from sectoral breadth is decisive: leadership is slipping in autos and core financials, while strength is getting confined to a few pockets, making the market’s internal structure weaker and far less supportive of broad-based buying.

Indicator To Gauge Internal Strength
This indicator captures the internal strength of the broader market by tracking how many Nifty 500 stocks are registering fresh 52-week highs versus those slipping to new 52-week lows. In a healthy market, new highs expand while new lows remain contained, signalling broad participation. A reversal in this balance often points to rising internal stress, even before headline indices weaken materially. Between February 18 and February 25, 2026, the breadth picture softened. The number of Nifty 500 stocks hitting new 52-week highs rose marginally from 7 to 9, but the more telling move was on the downside: fresh 52-week lows increased from 1 to 5, showing that selling pressure is spreading to a wider set of counters. This shift coincided with a 1.02 per cent decline in the Nifty 500, which slipped from 23,645.8 to 23,403.8, suggesting the weakness is not restricted to a handful of heavyweights. The widening gap between a rising count of new lows and a declining index level points to stock-specific damage beneath the surface, with investors cutting weaker names even as a few pockets still print highs. That mix typically reflects a cautious, risk-aware tape and a fragile internal market structure. With new lows climbing and the index drifting lower, the breadth scoreboard has moved into the caution zone, where selectivity matters more than broad based buying.

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