Another day of volatility expected for the markets

Srujani Panda / 04 Oct 2011

Overnight U.S. stocks tumbled, sending the S&P 500 to a 1 year low, as concern over Greece’s debt crisis & Bank of America’s slump outweighed a rebound in manufacturing & construction spending.

Opening Bias

The markets may open sideways in line with global cues. The SGX Nifty is trading down by 23.5 points at 4844 indicating a flat gap down opening. Overnight U.S. stocks tumbled, sending the S&P 500 Index to a one-year low, as concern over Greece’s debt crisis and Bank of America Corp. (BAC)’s slump outweighed a rebound in manufacturing and construction spending. Asian stocks also dropped for the third day on concern Europe’s debt crisis will worsen.

Benchmark Indices
Index Closing % Change
SENSEX 16151.45 -1.84
NIFTY 4849.5 -1.90
Dow Jones 10655.3 -2.36
S&P 500 1099.23 -2.85
NASDAQ 2335.83 -3.29
Bovespa 50791.5 -2.93
FTSE 5075.5 -1.03
DAX 5376.7 -2.28
CAC 2926.83 -1.85
LIVE
Hang Seng 16834.68 0.07
Nikkei 8406.33 -1.63
Shanghai 2359.22 0.00

Back home, we believe cement shares will be in focus as companies start unveiling monthly sales data for September 2011. Cement sales is likely to pick up as monsoon withdraws. Also prices have been hiked by major manufacturers in western region by Rs 5 per 50-kg bag due to supply limitations. Gold rose on concern that Greece will default on its debt, spurring demand for the metal as a haven.

Key Global Indicators
  Gold (Rs/10gm) Crude ($/bbl)
Cash 25519 101.21
% change - 0.15
Future 26500 76.58
% change 1.80 -1.33

 

With the Q2FY11 earning season coming close we recommend our readers to closely watch the management commentary at the time of announcement of Q2 September 2011 results, which will provide cues on futures earnings outlook. A poor set of advance tax payment by top 100 companies in Q1FY12 suggest corporate profit growth is likely to be muted in the second quarter.

 

Currency Rates
  Rs/$ Rs/Euro Rs/GBP Rs100/JYP
RBI Rate 49.4240 65.8478 76.7209 64.1500
Future 49.3975 65.9400 76.6475 64.2500

 

In conclusion, we expect another day of volatility and our technical analyst has provided us with some key support and resistance levels for the nifty to help you trade better.

 

Nifty Trading Levels
S1 4820 R1 4880
S2 4795 R2 4905
S3 4760 R3 4930

 
[PAGE BREAK]

Corporate News

 

Reliance Power is set to earn Rs 2,000 crore by trading carbon credits from its ultra mega power plant (UMPP) in Tilaiya, Jharkhand, during the first 10 years of its operations. The 3,960-Mw Tilaiya UMPP to be commissioned in April 2012 would generate 21.3 million carbon credits during the first 10 years.

 

MOIL is in talk with SAIL and RINL to set up two plants of manganese alloy products, through joint venture route, for about Rs 600 crore. The unit with SAIL will be established near the Bhilai steel plant in Chhattisgarh for Rs 400 crore and produce about 106000 tonnes of the manganese alloys per annum and the one with RINL will come up at Bobli, near Vishakhapattnam in Andhra Pradesh for Rs 200 crore and would have a production capacity of 57,000 tonnes in a year.

 

RIL has sought approval to sell gas it plans to produce from coal-bed methane at about $13 per million British thermal unit (mmBtu), more than double the rate at which domestically produced gas is sold at present.

 

Drug firm Strides Arcolab has received the USFDA approval to market injectable Clindamycin USP, used in the treatment of bacterial infections, in the American market. The product will be available in three single-dose vial sizes and in pharmacy bulk packaging. According to IMS data, the size of the US market for injectable Clindamycin stood at USD 65 million (including bags) in 2011.

 

The Asian Development Bank plans to sell its 5.2% stake in Petronet LNG, which GAIL India is keen to acquire and may have to pay over Rs 600 crore for it. ADB has offered to sell its 39 million shares valued at over Rs 614 crore on yesterday’s closing price of Rs 157.85 per share on the BSE, sources privy to the development said.

 

Prism Cement has awarded Perth based India Resources a Rs 1200 crore contract to develop a captive coal mine. India Resources will develop and operate the first phase of coal deposit in Madhya Pradesh's Chhindwara district for 30 years The mine, which is expected to produce some 9.06 million tonnes of coal, was awarded to Prism for its cement plant at Satna. Since demand for coal far exceeds supply in India, it has led to local companies with large energy needs to develop and own captive sources of coal.


Corporate Actions

 

Stocks Paying Dividend (Ex-Date)
Scrip Name Action Rs
PVR Interim Dividend 4

 

Corp Action
Scrip Name Action Ratio
VELJAN Rights Issue 1:4

 

BSE Institutional Turnover
   FII  DII
Trade Date  Buy  Sales  Net  Buy  Sales  Net
3-Oct-11 1,633.82 2,459.71 -825.89 1,112.85 817.51 295.34
30-Sep-11 2,498.17 2,957.64 -459.47 1,240.39 723.05 517.34
29-Sep-11 3,539.32 3,769.62 -230.3 1058.77 1,461.65 -402.88
Oct , 11 1,633.82 2,459.71 -825.89 1,112.85 817.51 295.34

 

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 03 Oct 2011
  BUY SELL Open Interest (End of Day) Net Position
  No. of contracts Rs (crore) No. of contracts Rs (crore) No. of contracts Rs (crore) Rs (crore)
Index Futures 90033 2173.73 110194 2644.79 522047 12561.66 -471.07
Index Options 368252 8734.58 297869 7122.92 1606831 38960.15 1611.66
Stock Futures 50516 1201.43 59657 1380.46 1108151 25911.29 -179.02
Stock Options 12044 288.04 11668 277.66 27144 666.13 10.38
Total 520845 12397.79 479388 11425.82 3264173 78099.23 971.96

 

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