Indian Markets may open positive in line with global cues

DSIJ Intelligence / 24 Oct 2011

The markets may open positive in line with global cues. The SGX Nifty is trading up by 32 points at 5100, indicating a gap up opening.

Morning Update 24thOct 2011

Opening Bias

The markets may open positive in line with global cues. The SGX Nifty is trading up by 32 points at 5100 indicating a gap up opening.

Benchmark Indices

Index Closing % Change
SENSEX 16785.64 -0.89
NIFTY 5049.95 -0.82
Dow Jones 11808.8 2.31
S&P 500 1238.25 1.88
NASDAQ 2637.46 1.49
Bovespa 55255.2 2.31
FTSE 5488.65 1.93
DAX 5970.96 3.55
CAC 3171.34 2.83
LIVE
Hang Seng 18592.87 3.15
Nikkei 8796.06 1.35
Shanghai 2316.54 -0.03

U.S. stocks surged on Friday, on the back of optimistic expectationsfrom the European Union summit on Sunday and as McDonald’s Corp profit triggered buying momentum that built into the close.

On the European Union Summit front, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy presented a united stand, assuring investors that European leaders remained on track for an agreement on solutions to the euro zone's long-running debt crisis, but provided little evidence of a breakthrough. Sarkozy held out hope for agreement on recapitalizing banks, addressing Greece's worsening financial situation and moves to leverage the European Financial Stability Facility to provide more firepower in the effort to contain the crisis. Merkel said discussions on leveraging the EFSF centered on two options but don't involve utilizing the European Central Bank.

As a result, Asian stocks have climbed this morning after European leaders said they were making good progress on a plan to resolve the debt crisis that has been roiling global markets.

Key Global Indicators

  Gold (Rs/10gm) Crude ($/bbl)
Spot 26336 110.85
% change - 0.06
Future 26765 87.58
% change 0.38 0.21


Back home, the markets will now enter the auspicious week of Diwali as investors get ready for SAMVAT 2068. However judging by certain events that have panned out over the past few days on the domestic circuit, like the dismal IIP numbers, indication of slow-down, muted Q2 results, stubbornly high inflation etc. the markets really don’t seem to be in the sort of upbeat mood that one has seen in the past during Diwali.

Currency Rates

  Rs/$ Rs/Euro Rs/GBP Rs100/JYP
RBI Rate 50.0670 69.0350 79.1559 65.2600
Future 50.0800 69.0575 79.5975 65.3000

Moreover, faced with double-digit inflation, we believe that RBI is likely to raise its policy rate again in its half-yearly review of the monetary policy on Tuesday. Although major bankers have suggested the RBI to pause on its interest rate hike cycle to check deterioration in asset quality and fire up credit demand, there is little chance that the central bank will accommodate their requests as both food and headline inflation are very high.

In conclusion, we expect the markets to largely remain positive for the day, but expect some volatility, as the forthcoming Q2 results season may give rise to market speculation on the outcome of individual company results. Also we expect investors and traders to start speculating over the possibility of another rate hike, although various unconfirmed reports suggest that the markets may have already discounted such rate hike.

Corporate News

The proposal to allow foreign airlines to pick up stakes in domestic carriers may become a reality soon as the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) under the commerce ministry has floated a draft cabinet note for inter-ministerial discussions on foreign direct investment (FDI) in aviation. It has received the civil aviation ministry’s nod to go ahead with the proposal. DIPP has argued foreign airlines may be allowed to pick up 26 per cent stake. According to the present norms, 49 per cent FDI is allowed in airport infrastructure-related projects but there are restrictions on foreign investment in domestic airlines. If the proposal goes through, domestic carriers like Jet Airways, Indigo, Spice-jet and Kingfisher Airlines would get a fresh lease of life.

Leisure hospitality firm Sterling Holiday Resorts is renovating its 17 existing resorts for Rs 150 crores and plans to add five more properties over the next six months. With close to 57,000 members, Sterling Holidays is also exploring overseas destinations and are looking at opportunities in Dubai, Malaysia, Sri Lanka and Thailand, which might be on lease basis or leased on limited inventory basis.

Leading plastics products maker Supreme Industries has drawn up plans to invest Rs 200 crore in the current fiscal year. As per the plan the company will invest Rs 58 crore to set up a unit for producing LPG composite gas cylinders at Halol in Gujarat, and Rs 56 crore to start a new unit to manufacture cross laminated plastic products in Vadodara. Besides, it is also investing Rs 28 crore in a new unit at Hosur, Tamil Nadu to manufacture protective packaging products and further plans to invest in expansion of other value -added products. The capex will be funded through internal accruals, and part of it will come from selling its space in Commercial Corporate Park in Mumbai for about Rs 70 crore.

Courtesy the Oil Ministry, Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC) will get a windfall of over Rs 1,300 crore from the domestically produced natural gas, which is priced in dollar with the rupee touching a 30-month low against the US dollar. This is possible because the ministry changed the pricing of domestically produced natural gas from rupee to the US dollar last year, benefiting the upstream companies.

Arshiya International Ltd, an integrated supply chain and logistics infrastructure solutions company, has inked a pact with Soilmec India, a subsidiary of Italian based leader in design, manufacture, and distribution of equipment for the ground engineering industry, for making Arshiyas first Free Trade and Warehousing Zone (FTWZ) in Panvel, near Mumbai as its regional distribution hub. With this deal, Soilmec will be utilising Arshiyas Mumbai FTWZ for importing large sized machines such as large diameter piles, cranes, hydromill, grabs and microdrilling equipment as well as the spare parts required to service these heavy engineering machines.

Gateway Rail Freight, a subsidiary of Gateway Distriparks Ltd and Indias largest private container train operator, commenced double-stack container train operations from its Garhi Harsaru rail terminal. According to the company, the commencement of double-stack container train operations will increase capacity on the NCR - Gujarat ports route and improve the capability of rail operations. With increasing frequency of double-stack trains, rail transportation will become more economical and this will benefit their customers.

JSW steel in its Q2 FY12 result reported net sales of Rs 7625.06 crore up by 33 per cent. The growth was mainly on back of higher sale volume and improved sales realization. However the net profit of the company fell by 75 percent because of iron ore shortage and higher forex translation losses of Rs 512 crore due to adverse movement of the Rupee against dollar. The company is now in talks with its long-term customers to raise its steel prices by 3-4 per cent.

IPO Listing

Vaswani Industries IPO

Listing Date: Monday, October 24th, 2011
BSE Scrip Code: 533576
NSE Symbol: VASWANI
Listing In: 'B' Group of Securities
ISIN: INE590L01019
Issue Price: Rs. 49.00 per Equity Share
Face Value: Rs. 10.00 per Equity Share

Corporate Action

Stocks Paying Dividend (Ex-Date)

Scrip Name Action Rs
Crompton Greav Interim Dividend 0.8
Nelcast Interim Dividend 1


Results Today

Scrip Name Action Scrip Name Action Scrip Name Action
Ajanta Pharma Q2FY12 Mafatlal Fin Q2FY12 Simplex Papers Q2FY12
Amco India-$ Q2FY12 Mahindra & Mah Fin Q2FY12 State Bank Mysre Q2FY12
Choksi Lab Q2FY12 Mukat Pipes-$ Q2FY12 Sterlite Inds Q2FY12
Container Corp Q2FY12 National Fert Q2FY12 Strides Arco Q2FY12
Core Projects Q2FY12 Niyati Inds Q2FY12 Sulabh Engr Q2FY12
Delta Corp Q2FY12 Oriental Hotels Q2FY12 Sun Pharma Adv Q2FY12
Diamines & Chem-$ Q2FY12 Oswal Agro Q2FY12 Swasti Vinay Syn Q2FY12
EID Parry Q2FY12 Pfizer Q2FY12 Tata Coffee Q2FY12
EVERTEX Q2FY12 Piramal Glass Q2FY12 THINKSOFT Q2FY12
Gail India Q2FY12 PNB Gilts Q2FY12 Titan Inds Q2FY12
Henkel India Q2FY12 Poly Medicure Q2FY12 Union Bank Q2FY12
Indian Hume Q2FY12 Polycon Intl Q2FY12 Wheel & Axle Q2FY12
ITC Q2FY12 Pratibha Inds Q2FY12 Wyeth Q2FY12
JM Financial-$ Q2FY12 Reliable Vent Q2FY12 XL Energy Q2FY12
Jyoti Struc Q2FY12 Sadbhav Engr Q2FY12 Zenith Health Q2FY12
KEI Inds Q2FY12 Sasken Comm Q2FY12

Lakshmi Mills-$ Q2FY12 SIL Investments Q2FY12

Liberty Shoes Q2FY12 Simplex Mills Q2FY12


BSE Institutional Turnover

   FII  DII
Trade Date  Buy  Sales  Net  Buy  Sales  Net
20-Oct-11 1,468.86 1,940.86 -472 719.91 845.18 -125.27
19-Oct-11 1,768.89 1,783.34 -14.45 763.47 857.93 -94.46
18-Oct-11 1,821.60 2,106.79 -285.19 830.19 963.08 -132.89
Oct , 11 28,571.11 29,781.79 -1210.68 13,560.22 13,572.02 -11.8

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 21-Oct-2011

  BUY SELL OI (End of day) Net Position
  No. of contracts Rs (crore) No. of contracts Rs (crore) No. of contracts Rs (crore) Rs (crore)
Index Futures 212379 5421.51 193873 4935.78 602009 15144.98 485.72
Index Options 523927 13218.10 468180 11840.91 2142455 54092.33 1377.19
Stock Futures 236335 5733.19 251290 6136.10 1226747 29563.84 -402.91
Stock Options 11859 307.39 12416 322.82 44161 1132.66 -15.43
Total 984500 24680.19 925759 23235.61 4015372 99933.81 1444.57

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