Markets may open sideways in line with mixed global cues

DSIJ Intelligence / 31 Oct 2011

The markets may open sideways in line with global cues. The SGX Nifty is trading up by 4 point at 5388.5 indicating a flattish opening to markets this week.

Opening Bias

The markets may open sideways in line with global cues. The SGX Nifty is trading up by 4 point at 5388.5 indicating a flattish opening to markets this week.

Benchmark Indices

Index Closing % Change
SENSEX 17804.8 2.98
NIFTY 5360.7 3.05
Dow Jones 12231.1 0.18
S&P 500 1285.09 0.04
NASDAQ 2737.15 -0.05
Bovespa 59513.1 0.41
FTSE 5702.24 -0.20
DAX 6346.19 0.13
CAC 3348.63 -0.59
LIVE
Hang Seng 19937.46 -0.41
Nikkei 9096.27 0.51
Shanghai 2473.74 0.01

Last week U.S. stocks finished mostly higher, after shifting between gains and losses throughout the trading session, as relief over European progress in combating regional debt helped key indexes score weekly gains. Equities also climbed as investor confidence rose after the U.S. economy expanded in the third quarter at the fastest pace in a year, as gains in consumer spending and business investment helped support a recovery on the brink of faltering. Separate data showed that consumer confidence unexpectedly rose in October, while fewer Americans filed for unemployment assistance last week.

However 200 year old bank MF Global has found itself in troubled waters after reporting a quarterly loss USD 191.6 million followed by a ratings downgrade of its credit worthiness by Moody’s and Fitch to junk class. The company’s bonds are currently said to be trading at distressed levels and market sources believe that the company may file for a chapter 11 (bankruptcy) soon. Sources also added that the company is mulling the idea of selling all or part of its business, with the futures broking business being the most attractive. 

Key Global Indicators

  Gold (Rs/10gm) Crude ($/bbl)
Spot 27425 109.74
% change - -0.99
Future 27559 92.75
% change -0.11 -0.67

Asian shares this morning have also been trading on a mixed note tracking cues from a choppy closing witnessed in the European markets as Italy’s borrowing costs surged at an auction. The Asian markets are also awaiting the key Monetary Policy data from Japan today.

Back home, data published by BSE show that after pulling out in the last two months, FII’s have turned bullish and infused over Rs 1000 crore in the Indian markets in October. During October 3-28, overseas investors have purchased stocks and debt securities worth a gross amount of Rs 58483.40 crore and sold securities valued Rs 57470 crore. This translated into a net inflow of Rs 1014.30 crore. In August and September, FIIs witnessed an outflow. In August, FII’s pulled out nearly Rs 8000 crore, or USD 1.8 billion, from the Indian stock and debt markets — the highest monthly withdrawal since October, 2008.

Currency Rates

  Rs/$ Rs/Euro Rs/GBP Rs100/JYP
RBI Rate 48.8210 69.2853 78.5676 64.3600
Future 49.0100 69.3100 78.8000 64.6025

Now with the markets also posting some hefty gains in the month of October coupled with good FII inflows one may expect this diwali to bring in some joy and optimism in the economy.

We advise our readers to also watch out for the auto and cement sales numbers expected this week as it will provide valuable insight on their next quarter’s expected performance.

In conclusion, we at DSIJ expect the markets to remain volatile for the day tracking cues from the global markets. Nevertheless we shall update our readers on a timely basis on the expected direction of the markets.

Corporate News

In what may seem as another major blow for Mukesh Ambani led RIL, studies conducted by the company so far reveal that the decline in gas output from Dhirubhai-1 and 3 fields in its KG-D6 block could be ‘irreversible'. These fields have seen a drop of almost 42 per cent since the peak of 60 mmscmd in end-2009.This means industries buying D6 gas will now have to depend on expensive imported gas. While imported gas is available at USD 8.5/mBtu and USD 14/mBtu (excluding other levies and taxes), D6 gas is available at USD 4.2/mBtu (excluding the levies and taxes). However the company has also indicated that it will propose to develop a few satellite fields to cope up with the shortfall.

JSW Steel may get the final go ahead from West Bengal government for its proposed green-field integrated steel project at Salboni in West Bengal, in a week's time. The company has already promised to achieve financial closure for 3 million tonne plant coupled with 300 MW captive power unit in phase-I, soon after receiving the approval from the State Government.

NMDC is looking to buy 2-3 properties overseas by year-end, and is likely to put a bid for acquiring 100 per cent stake in Russia’s Vincy Coal in two or three days. Bid for Vincy Coal, which is estimated to have coking coal reserves of 70-100 million tonnes, will be submitted shortly by NMDC, according to sources.

Drug firm Elder Pharmaceuticals has announced its plans to foray into the growing personal and lifestyle healthcare sector including hypertension, diabetes and cardiac care. Currently, Elder’s main strength is marketing the women’s healthcare product Shelcal, a calcium supplement to prevent osteoporosis, and its extensions. With its recently added manufacturing plant in New Bombay, it has acquired a strong presence in women’s healthcare, nutraceuticals, anti-infectives, lifestyle diseases and pain management.

INDIAN Overseas Bank (IOB) has planned a major global expansion initiative. The government-owned bank, with its head office in this city, has identified 14 centers in the US, Australia and African countries to establish its presence, according to company officials. The bank plans to set up around six branches — two in the US, one in Australia, one in New Zealand and two in Africa.  According to a preliminary feasibility survey conducted by global consulting firm Deloitte & Touche the project would be implemented in three phases.

IT firm NIIT Technologies will invest up to Rs 175 crore for the second phase of expansion of its campus in Greater Noida. According to company, the phase-II expansion will begin in January next year and will have an investment of Rs 165-175 crore. It will take six-eight months to get completed and would create a capacity of 4,000 people.

United Breweries has said its wine sales in the past six months had grown 72-80 per cent and it was planning to launch new brands in the next three-four months. According to a company spokesperson, the wine market in the country is estimated to be growing at 40 per cent per annum and the company is mainly focusing on its Four Seasons brand for wines.
 
Private sector lender Kotak Mahindra Bank has increased its savings deposit rates by 150-200 basis points within a week after the RBI deregulated the interest rate on savings bank deposits. The Mumbai-based lender will offer six per cent on savings deposits above Rs100000 with effect from November 1. For savings deposits up to Rs 100,000, the lender will pay 5.5 per cent interest. The move is aimed to strengthen the bank’s low-cost retail deposit base.

Maruti posted an extremely disappointing set of numbers. Margins cracked to their lowest level since 2008, profits slid a whopping 60%, as an appreciating Yen, higher commodity costs and labor unrest at Manesar hit production. The board approves land purchase for a new facility in Gujarat.

Corporate Actions

Stocks Paying Dividend (Ex-Date)

Scrip Name Action Rs
Mindtree Interim Dividend 1.5
Mindtree Special Dividend 1
Sterlite Inds Interim Dividend 1

Corp Action

Scrip Name Action Ratio
VIP Inds-$ Stock Split Rs 10/- to Rs 2/-

Results Today

Scrip Name Action Scrip Name Action Scrip Name Action Scrip Name Action
3M India Q2FY12 Corporation Bank Q2FY12 Jindal Capital Q2FY12 Sundaram Brake Q2FY12
Alok Inds Q2FY12 CPEC Q2FY12 Karnataka Bank Q2FY12 Teesta Agro Q2FY12
Apar Inds Q2FY12 Dabur India Q2FY12 Khaitan Chem Q2FY12 Triveni Glass-$ Q2FY12
Atlas Cycle Q2FY12 Dena Bank Q2FY12 Kohinoor Foods Q2FY12 Tulsi Extr Q2FY12
Ballarpur Inds Q2FY12 EIH Q2FY12 Lakshmi Mach Q2FY12 UBE Inds Q2FY12
Basant Agro-$ Q2FY12 Enterprise Intl Q2FY12 LG Balakrishnan Q2FY12 Uco Bank Q2FY12
Bata India Q2FY12 Gillette India Q2FY12 LGB Forge Q2FY12 United Bank Q2FY12
Birla Corp Q2FY12 Goodluck Steel Q2FY12 Maharashtra Poly Q2FY12 United Brew Hldg Q2FY12
BOB Q2FY12 Greenply Inds Q2FY12 Nirlon Q2FY12 United Brew-$ Q2FY12
BPCL Q2FY12 Gujarat Pipavav Q2FY12 NMDC Q2FY12 Usha Martin Q2FY12
Canara Bank Q2FY12 Gulf Oil Corp-$ Q2FY12 Novartis India Q2FY12 VELJAN Q2FY12
Castrol India Q2FY12 Havells India Q2FY12 OCL India Q2FY12 Venus Remedies Q2FY12
Century Enka Q2FY12 Hindustan Unilever Q2FY12 Oriental Bank Q2FY12 Vijaya Bank Q2FY12
Century Ply-$ Q2FY12 ICICI Bank Q2FY12 Pudumjee Pulp Q2FY12 Wipro Q2FY12
Century Tex Q2FY12 Indian Bank Q2FY12 Punjab & Sind Bank Q2FY12

Cera Sanitary Q2FY12 INTEGRA IND Q2FY12 Shanthi Gears Q2FY12

Colgate Palmolive Q2FY12 IPCA Lab Q2FY12 Shriram City Uni Q2FY12

Consolidated Sec Q2FY12 J&K Bank Q2FY12 Subex Q2FY12


BSE Institutional Turnover

   FII  DII
Trade Date  Buy  Sales  Net  Buy  Sales  Net
28-Oct-11 5,496.62 3,330.41 2166.21 1,200.25 2278.66 -1078.41
26-Oct-11 72.24 141.19 -68.95 59.84 23.59 36.25
25-Oct-11 3,678.07 3,233.31 444.76 1341.45 2,220.91 -879.46
Oct , 11 40,921.97 39,723.52 1198.45 17,677.95 19,696.84 -2018.89

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 28-Oct-2011

  BUY SELL OI (End of day) Net Position
  No. of contracts Rs (crore) No. of contracts Rs (crore) No. of contracts Rs (crore) Rs (crore)
Index Futures 125989 3367.88 80765 2149.47 582122 15540.22 1218.42
Index Options 430005 11327.71 376380 9779.19 1350340 36198.01 1548.52
Stock Futures 98485 2483.83 77452 2010.95 1118158 28226.85 472.88
Stock Options 12118 317.38 11798 306.04 16018 416.43 11.34
Total 666597 17496.80 546395 14245.64 3066638 80381.52 3251.16

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