Markets may open negative in line with global cues

DSIJ Intelligence / 01 Nov 2011

In major global news, 200 year old bank MF Global Holdings on Monday filed one of the nation’s largest bankruptcy cases after suffering big losses on risky debt investments.
Morning Update 01st Nov 2011

The markets may open negative in line with global cues. The SGX Nifty is trading down by 27 points at 5321 indicating a gap down opening to markets.

Benchmark Indices
Index Closing % Change
SENSEX 17705.1 -0.56
NIFTY 5326.6 -0.64
Dow Jones 11955.01 -2.26
S&P 500 1253.3 -2.47
NASDAQ 2684.41 -1.93
Bovespa 58338.4 -1.97
FTSE 5544.22 -2.77
DAX 6141.34 -3.23
CAC 3242.84 -3.16
LIVE
Hang Seng 19620.09 -1.23
Nikkei 8920.86 -0.75
Shanghai 2478.8 0.43

Overnight U.S. stocks slumped amid growing concern that European leaders will struggle to raise funds to contain the region’s sovereign debt crisis, Italy prime ministers decision to step down and the eminent bankruptcy filed by NY based MF Global.

Asian shares are also seen trading in the red this morning, tracking negative cues from the Wall Street, with resources and materials shares among the top decliners. In major global news, 200 year old bank MF Global Holdings Ltd. on Monday filed one of the nation’s largest bankruptcy cases after suffering big losses on risky debt investments. The company had earlier reported a quarterly loss USD 191.6 million and had its credit ratings downgraded by Moody’s and Fitch to junk class.

Currency Rates
  Rs/$ Rs/Euro Rs/GBP Rs100/JYP
RBI Rate 48.8730 68.3616 78.1137 61.5100
Future 48.9525 68.5700 78.3625 62.8500

Back home, eight core industries performed below par in September, resulting in a disappointing industrial growth. The eight crucial sectors, having a weight of almost 38 per cent in the IIP, grew by just 2.3 per cent in September 2011 as against 3.3 in the corresponding month last year — the lowest in two-and-a-half years.

The latest set of data implies that the rest of the sectors in IIP will have to put up an extremely good show in September to push up industrial growth, which continued to be at below 5 per cent for the second month in a row in August. While consumer durable sectors are anyway facing the brunt of high interest rates, the capital goods sector is highly volatile.

Key Global Indicators
  Gold (Rs/10gm) Crude ($/bbl)
Spot 27425 108.76
% change - -0.74
Future 27355 92.77
% change -0.74 -0.45

We also advise our readers to watch out for the auto and cement sales numbers expected this week as it will provide valuable insight on their next quarter’s expected performance.

In conclusion, we expect the markets to remain negative for the day tracking cues from the global markets. Nevertheless we shall update our readers on a timely basis on the expected direction of the markets.

Corporate News

HUL stock leaped 7.4 per cent as the company reported significantly better than expected performance in the second quarter across all three main parameters — sales, operating profit and net profit. Total operating income rose 17.7 per cent year-on-year (y-o-y) to Rs 5,610 crore led by value and volume growth, especially in its soaps and detergents business (S&D), which contributes 45 per cent to overall revenues. Operating profit margin jumped 115 basis points (bps) to 14.7 per cent largely due to price rise. A 22.6 per cent growth in net profit after adjusting for extra ordinary gains led to 46 bps increase y-o-y in net profit margin compared to decline seen in most of the past several quarters. T he management also declared an interim dividend of Rs 3.5 per share, which is 350 per cent over its Rs 1 face value.

State-owned NMDC today posted a net profit of Rs 1,963.1 crore for the quarter ended September 30, 2011, up 42% over same period last fiscal. Total income has increased to Rs 3,565.2 crore for the quarter from Rs 2,705.9 crore for the quarter ended September 30, 2010. The excellent set of numbers was attributed to higher sales volumes, stable costs and steep rise in other income. The board also declared an interim dividend of Re 1 for equity share for the fiscal. The board added that the process had been initiated to sell the plant and machinery of Silica Sand project of Lalapur and UPFO plant Visakhapatnam.

After a one-off reduction, state-owned oil companies today hiked jet fuel prices by a steep 3.8% in line. The price of aviation turbine fuel (ATF), or jet fuel, at Delhi's T3 airport was raised by Rs 2,845 per kilolitre (kl), or 3.8%, to Rs 61,115 per kl with effect from midnight tonight, an official of Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), said. ATF in Mumbai, home to the nation's busiest airport, will cost Rs 2,950 per kl more at Rs 61,984 per kl from tomorrow as against the old price of Rs 59,021 per kl. Jet fuel makes up for 40% of an airlines' operating cost and the steep hike in prices will raise burden on the cash-strapped airlines. One may expect some positive movement in OMC prices and negative movement in aviation stocks.

Drug maker Sun Pharmaceutical has received approval from the USFDA to market generic Diltiazem HCl extended-release capsules used for treating hypertension and angina in the American market. These Diltiazem HCl extended release capsules are generic equivalent to Valeant International's Cardizem CD capsules in the strengths of 20 mg, 180 mg, 240 mg, 300 mg and 360 mg, it added. The company believes that the annual sale in the US for these strengths is approximately USD 300 million. Diltiazem HCl extended-release capsules are indicated for the treatment of hypertension and for the management of angina.

Greenply Industries today reported over six fold jump in its net profit to Rs 10.10 crore for the second quarter ended September 30, 2011, over the same period previous fiscal. The company had posted a net profit of Rs 1.58 crore for the same period last financial year. Net sales of the company for the second quarter ended September 30, 2011 stood at Rs 413.48 crore, as against Rs 288.72 crore for the same period last fiscal.

RIL plans to invest up to USD 2.338 billion to produce about 15 million standard cubic meters per day of gas from the R-Series gas field in its eastern offshore Krishna Godavari D6 block. The Dhirubhai-34 discovery, known as the R-Series field, has gross in-place gas reserves of 1.64 trillion cubic feet, which, according to Reliance, can be brought into production in four-five years, sources privy to the development said.

Indian oil explorer Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) today posted a net loss of Rs 3,229 crore for the second quarter ended September, 2011. The oil PSU had posted a net profit of Rs 2,142 crore in the corresponding quarter last year. During the quarter, net sales increased 19.40% to Rs 42,282 crore as compared to Rs 35,416 crore in the same quarter last year. The results for the quarter has been adversely affected due to impact on account of high crude oil and product prices which could not be fully passed on to consumers.

NHPC has planed to add only 515 Mw of power capacity in the current financial year which is almost half of the target they had set for the year, at 1,080 Mw. This is due to some political issues, and some other geological issues. Work had come to a standstill at some projects due to the ongoing Gorkhaland issue. Unexpected floods in Sikkim, too, created geological pressures on the progress of work.

Corporate Action


Stocks Paying Dividend (Ex-Date)
Scrip Name Action Rs
Godrej Cons 2nd Interim Dividend 1.00
Rallis India Interim Dividend 1.00

Results Today
Scrip Name Action Scrip Name Action
Abbott India Q2FY12 Integra Engg Q2FY12
ACC Q2FY12 JUBILANT Q2FY12
Aditya Birla Nuv Q2FY12 Kavveri Telecom-$ Q2FY12
Ambuja Cements Q2FY12 Mcleod Russel Q2FY12
Bajaj Elect-$ Q2FY12 Merck Q2FY12
Central Bank Q2FY12 Orchid Chem Q2FY12
DIC India Q2FY12 PNB Q2FY12
Divis Lab Q2FY12 Rolta India Q2FY12
EIH Associated-$ Q2FY12 Sona Koyo Q2FY12
Essar Oil Q2FY12 Suven Life Q2FY12
Flex Foods-$ Q2FY12 Transport Corp Q2FY12
HPCL Q2FY12 Tuticorin Alk Q2FY12

BSE Institutional Turnover
   FII  DII
Trade Date  Buy  Sales  Net  Buy  Sales  Net
31-Oct-11 2,587.45 2,228.67 358.78 945.29 1221.65 -276.36
28-Oct-11 5,496.62 3,330.41 2166.21 1,200.25 2,278.66 -1078.41
26-Oct-11 72.24 141.19 -68.95 59.84 23.59 36.25
Oct , 11 43,509.42 41,952.19 1557.23 18,623.24 20,918.49 -2295.25

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 31-Oct-2011
  BUY SELL OI (End of day) Net Position
  No. of contracts Rs (crore) No. of contracts Rs (crore) No. of contracts Rs (crore) Rs (crore)
Index Futures 56124 1482.83 65362 1716.65 599202 15893.55 -233.81
Index Options 358757 9432.56 314732 8319.32 1390169 37036.67 1113.24
Stock Futures 46108 1201.53 69990 1784.41 1131720 28360.47 -582.88
Stock Options 12932 328.93 11580 295.78 18882 494.19 33.16
Total 473921 12445.85 461664 12116.15 3139973 81784.88 329.70

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