Markets expected to open in the green

DSIJ Intelligence / 04 Nov 2011

Overnight major global markets posted strong gains, after Greece dropped voting on its financial rescue & the European Central Bank lowered interest rates to 1.25%

Morning Update 04th Nov 2011

Opening Bias

The markets may open positive in line with strong global cues. The SGX Nifty is trading up by 55 points at 5,365, indicating a strong gap opening to markets today.

Benchmark Indices

Index Closing % Change
SENSEX 17481.93 0.10
NIFTY 5265.75 0.14
Dow Jones 12044.5 1.76
S&P 500 1261.15 1.88
NASDAQ 2697.97 2.20
Bovespa 58196.3 1.52
FTSE 5545.64 1.12
DAX 6133.18 2.81
CAC 3195.47 2.73
LIVE
Hang Seng 19864.4 3.23
Nikkei 8742.3 1.18
Shanghai 2643.02 0.61

Overnight the US stocks posted a second day of strong gains after Greece dropped voting on its financial rescue and the European Central Bank unexpectedly lowered its interest rates. At a press conference yesterday, the European Central Bank lowered its benchmark interest rate to 1.25% from 1.5%, citing recent data pointing to a worsening in the Euro zone economy. The Asian shares have also witnessed strong gains in early morning trades as Greece shelved its referendum plan and the ECB interest rate cut helped revive a risk appetite.

The Indian companies’ ADRs traded in the American markets have majorly closed in the green zone indicating a positive day ahead for them in the Indian markets. In the IT space, Wipro was up by 1.49%, Infosys was up by 0.34% and Patni was up by a good 1.94%. In the telecom space, MTNL was up by a massive 3.31% and Tata Communications was up by 1.42%. In the banking space, ICICI Bank was down by 0.58% and HDFC Bank was down by 0.16%. In the other space, Sterlite remained unchanged, Dr Reddy’s was up by 0.54% and Tata Motors was up by 0.88%.

Currency Rates

  Rs/$ Rs/Euro Rs/GBP Rs100/JYP
RBI Rate 49.3748 67.5920 78.4961 63.2600
Future 49.3475 68.1000 78.9600 63.2700

Back home, as reported by us yesterday, the country’s largest OMC, IOC, has finally hiked its petrol prices by another Rs 1.8 per litre. According to sources, the other OMCs like HPCL and BPCL may also follow suit shortly. The hike was a much expected event as the OMCs were bleeding heavily, suffering as they were an estimated loss of Rs 319 cr daily on a subsidised sale of diesel, kerosene and domestic LPG. Moreover, a depreciating rupee also played spoilsport by hurting the liquidity position of these companies.

This is the second hike in petrol prices in less than two months and it came on a day when the fuel inflation stood ‘dangerously’ at 14.5% for the week ended October 22

Key Global Indicators

  Gold (Rs/10gm) Crude ($/bbl)
Spot 27387 110.7
% change - -0.29
Future 27972 93.72
% change 1.38 -0.37

Talking on the inflation front, food inflation continued to surge, climbing to its highest level in close to ten months in the third week of October. This was mainly on account of a sharp surge in the price levels of vegetables, pulses, poultry items and milk during the week, which marked the festival season across the country. Data released by the government on Thursday showed food inflation, as measured by the WPI, at 12.21% during the week ended October 22 as against the previous week’s annual rise of 11.43%.

Inflation in the primary articles was recorded at 12.08%, compared to 11.75% in the previous week. Inflation in non-food articles, including fibres, oil seeds and minerals, was recorded at 6.43% during the week under review, as against 7.67% in the week ended October 15. Fuel and power inflation stood at 14.50% during the week ended October 22, compared to 14.70% in the previous week.

Commenting on the latest food inflation numbers, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said the rise in rate of price rise was a matter of “grave concern”, but attributed this partly to the festive season. “Inflation is still a matter of grave concern. This is also the effect of the festive season. November onward, the real trend for the remaining four months of the fiscal will be available.” We at DSIJ also affirm the same. The prices of food articles are expected to ease towards the end of the festive season, which could help cool inflation in the coming weeks.

The base effect should also come into play in the second week of November, which could further exert downward pressure on the food inflation estimates. Food inflation was recorded at 13.55% in the corresponding week of the previous year. In conclusion, we expect the markets to remain positive for the day, tracking strong cues from the global markets. Nevertheless we shall update our readers on a timely basis on the expected direction of the markets.

Stocks In Action

In a regulatory filing, private sector iron ore miner Sesa Goa will acquire 100% stake in Goa Energy from Videocon Industries and other shareholders for an all cash deal amounting to Rs 53.72 cr. The agreement includes taking over an existing debt of Rs 47.28 cr of Goa Energy, which owns and operates a 30 MW waste heat recovery power plant in Goa. The acquisition will enable Sesa Goa to exploit synergies with the pig iron and coke making operations at Amona in Goa and to secure further cost reduction on its own power requirements. Sesa Goa has a 0.28 million tonne per annum metallurgical coke plant and 0.25 million tonne pig iron plant in Goa. Besides this, the company also has operations in Karnataka and in 2010-11 it had produced over 18 million tonnes of iron ore.

In a move that may bring the two Ambani brothers closer, Mukesh Ambani-led RIL is in talks to hire the infrastructure of younger sibling Anil Ambani’s firm RCom for its telecom foray. According to sources in the know, RCom will be providing the entire infrastructure - towers, fiber and backhaul as well as its national and international long distance facilities - to RIL’s high-speed broadband services. RCom has 50,000 towers, an optical fiber network of 2.77 KM and over 1 million retails outlets (including company-owned franchisee and distributors). According to market reports, RIL is initially looking at about 30,000 towers. If this deal goes through, it will positively impact the valuation of RCom’s tower arm, for which the company is in talks with PE firms to sell its majority stake of 95%.

Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC) is likely to see a 75% jump in natural gas production in the next five years when the state-owned company will bring its Krishna Godavari basin gas discoveries into production. ONGC’s natural gas output is projected to rise from about 52 million standard cubic meters per day during the current year to 91.09 mmscmd by 2016-17, according to the gas supply projections made by the Ministry of Oil.

State-run Power Grid Corporation (PGCIL) has set aside around Rs 5,000 cr for setting up a transmission network in Gujarat by October next year. PGCIL’s network would then connect Bhachau, Morbi, Lalpar and Halvad at Gujarat’s Kutch district. The company has already commissioned a transmission system for two units of the Mundra Ultra Mega Power Project in Gujarat. These are part of the transmission system associated with Mundra UMPP, being implemented by Power Grid at an estimated cost of about Rs 5,000 cr. PGCIL has planned a capital investment of Rs 55,000 cr for the development of inter-state transmission system during 11th Five Year Plan of which an investment of more than Rs 42,000 cr has already been made till September 2011.

According to sources, state-owned NMDC’s exports of iron ore may fall by over 61% to less than 1 million tonne this year from 2.6 million tonne last year. The sources added that the drop in exports will not impact the financials of the company, as domestic demand and prices are encouraging. The plunge in exports is primarily due to the delay in issuance of a notification by the government, permitting overseas shipment of the mineral resource even after Cabinet approval.

Kerala-based private sector lender Dhanlaxmi Bank is looking to secure an infusion of fresh capital within the next two-three months, a top official of the bank has said. Managing Director and CEO Amitabh Chaturvedi said that the capital infusion would be finalised within the next 2-3 months, though he declined to give any figure on the amount that would be pumped into the company.

L&T Oman, a subsidiary of the domestic engineering and construction giant Larsen & Toubro, has bagged two orders worth Rs 875 cr from the Muscat Municipality and Ministry of Transport and Communication of the Sultanate of Oman. The orders are for the construction of two road projects on the Wadikabir-Darsait Road and Mahlah-Ghubbrat al Tam-Ismaiyah Road. The Wadikabir-Darsait project is scheduled to be completed in 24 months and involves the design and construction of flyovers and underpasses along the road. The Mahlah-Ghubbat al Tam-Ismaiyah project will be completed in 41 months and involves 45 kms of road work, four bridges and cross-drainage work.

Kiri Industries Ltd, which manufactures dyes and dyes intermediates, has acquired SMS Chemical Co Ltd based in Taiwan. However, the financial details were not disclosed by the company.

The Income Tax Department is carrying out search and seizure operations against Raymonds Ltd in Mumbai, Thane, Nagpur, Bangalore, Kolkata and four other cities across the country. No further details are available at this point of time. Meanwhile, in a statement, the company said: “The Income Tax Department has been on Raymond Ltd’s premises this morning. As a responsible corporate, we are cooperating with the authorities in their search. It would be premature to discuss details at this point in time.”

Corporate Action

Stocks Paying Dividend (Ex-Date)

Scrip Name Action Rs
Dabur India Interim Dividend 0.6
Hindustan Unilever Interim Dividend 3.5
KSB Pumps Interim Dividend 1.0
Procter & Gamble Dividend 22.5
Sasken Comm Interim Dividend 2.5
Navneet Pub Interim Dividend 0.6

Corp Action

Scrip Name Action Ratio
Maximaa Sys Stock Split Rs 10/- to Rs 2/-

Results Today

Scrip Name Action Scrip Name Action
 Arihant Capital   Q2FY12  Himatsingka Sei   Q2FY12
 Arvind Remedies   Q2FY12  Hitech Plast   Q2FY12
 Astral Poly Tec   Q2FY12  La Opala RG   Q2FY12
 Bombay Rayon   Q2FY12  Motherson Sumi   Q2FY12
 City Union Bank   Q2FY12  MTNL   Q2FY12
 Dr Wellmans   Q2FY12  Nitin Spinners   Q2FY12
 Eurotex   Q2FY12  PI Industries   Q2FY12
 Filatex India   Q2FY12  Sharp India   Q2FY12
 Guj Reclaim   Q2FY12


BSE Institutional Turnover

 

 FII

 DII

Trade Date  Buy  Sales  Net  Buy  Sales  Net
3-Nov-11 1,884.03 1,868.58 15.45 973.06 971.15 1.91
2-Nov-11 1,469.28 1,477.06 -7.78 736.50 744.29 -7.79
1-Nov-11 1,914.74 1,935.40 -20.66 666.56 1,239.97 -573.41
Nov , 11 5,268.05 5,281.04 -12.99 2,376.12 2,955.41 -579.29

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 03-Nov-2011

 

Buy

Sell

OI (End of day)

Net Position

  Rs (cr) Rs (cr) No. of contracts Rs (cr) Rs (cr)
Index Futures 1537.00 1971.46 554010 14504.73 -434.47
Index Options 15603.64 15577.65 1517816 39971.92 25.99
Stock Futures 1479.76 1544.91 1169195 29036.79 -65.15
Stock Options 334.58 313.12 25798 671.60 21.45
Total 18954.97 19407.15 3266819 84185.04 -452.17

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