Markets may witness a negative opening

DSIJ Intelligence / 25 Nov 2011

Unable to sustain yesterday’s positive rally, today the markets may open negative in line with weak global cues.

Morning Update 25thNov 2011

Opening Bias

Unable to sustain yesterday’s positive rally, today the markets may open negative in line with the weak global cues. The SGX Nifty is trading down by 44 points at 4,749, thus indicating a gap down opening to the markets today.

Benchmark Indices

Index Closing % Change
SENSEX 15858.49 1.01
NIFTY 4756.5 1.06
Dow Jones 11257.55 0.00
S&P 500 1161.79 0.00
NASDAQ 2460.08 0.00
Bovespa 55279.9 0.56
FTSE 5127.57 -0.24
DAX 5428.11 -0.54
CAC 2822.25 -0.01
LIVE
Hang Seng 17785.53 -0.83
Nikkei 8167.48 0.03
Shanghai 2515.53 0.17

Overnight the US markets were shut for trading as they celebrated the ‘Thanksgiving Day’. The European markets ended marginally lower, as ratings agency Fitch cut Portugal’s debt rating to junk class.

The Asian markets were also seen trading a little flatly - though in the red zone – during the early morning trades, with energy and banking stocks amongst the notable decliners.

As US celebrated the ‘Thanksgiving Day’, the Indian companies’ ADRs weren’t traded on the American bourses yesterday.

Currency Rates

  Rs/$ Rs/Euro Rs/GBP Rs100/JYP
RBI Rate 52.2500 69.8261 81.2279 67.7500
Future 52.1275 69.7200 80.9800 67.6375

Back home, the November 12, 2011 inflation numbers were announced yesterday and the markets cheered these numbers as food inflation eased to 9.08 per cent as against 10.63 per cent in the previous week. After remaining in the double digits for the past five weeks and touching a high of 12.21 per cent, the rate of price in food articles has finally managed to come back in the single digit zone, raising some hope that the RBI might take a pause in its monetary policy review scheduled in December 2011.

In others, inflation in the primary articles’ group also fell to 9.08 per cent in the week under review, from 10.39 per cent in the previous week. This stood at a whooping 15.18 per cent last year same week. Inflation in the fuel and power group remained unchanged at 15.49 per cent. Inflation in the non-food articles space slid to 4.05 per cent from 5.33 per cent in the previous week, which stood at 23.64 per cent in the same period a year earlier.

Key Global Indicators

  Gold (Rs/10gm) Crude ($/bbl)
Spot 28408 107.59
% change - -0.26
Future 28549 96.6
% change -0.80 0.45

In other developments, yesterday we had reported that the government is considering allowing FDI in the retail sector and rightly so, though amidst strong opposition, the cabinet has passed a resolution to allow FDI investments of up to 51 per cent in multi-brand and 100 per cent in single-brand retails. This is very positive news for the likes of Pantaloon, Trent, CESC, Bharti, etc who have show keen interest in bringing foreign investments into this growing sector.

In conclusion, despite a few positive news flows that are cheering the markets forward we still expect the markets to remain largely volatile due to the larger concerns of a weak rupee and an unstable Euro zone crisis still hanging over us. We advise our readers to stay cautious.

Stocks In Action

There seems to be no respite for the oil marketing companies (OMCs) and the aviation sector as recent developments have brought to light that Jet Airways has an unpaid jet fuel bills balance which has risen by over 65 per cent to Rs 849 crore in the first six months of the financial year 2011-12 as against Rs 514.68 crore outstanding as of March 31, 2011. At the same time the dues of Kingfisher Airlines have grown by a less alarming rate of 4 per cent during the same period but are at a whopping Rs 636.79 crore. As for the OMCs, the total exposure to outstanding dues from airlines stands at Rs 1,639.38 crore as of September 30, 2011, up by 28 per cent from Rs 1,279.9 crore at the end of the 2010-11 fiscal.

By giving the loan borrowers something to cheer about, SBI has decided to do away with its pre-payment charges of 2 per cent on home loans. It is believed that this will also prompt the other banks to waive off such charges.

Jindal Saw has bagged orders worth USD 190 million (around Rs 1,000 crore) to supply large-diameter pipes and ductile iron pipes for various export markets. With the receipt of this new order, the total order book of the company now stands at USD 885 million dollars.

Corporate Action

Stocks Paying Dividend (Ex-Date)

Scrip Name Action Rs
Compuage Info Interim Dividend 1

BSE Institutional Turnover

 

 FII

 DII

Trade Date  Buy  Sales  Net  Buy  Sales  Net
24-Nov-11 2,072.95 3,709.03 -1,636.08 1,908.66 860.91 1,047.75
23-Nov-11 1,776.24 2,962.66 -1,186.42 1,794.71 868.55 926.16
22-Nov-11 1,764.71 2,717.39 -952.68 1,814.54 749.03 1,065.51
Nov , 11 31,776.86 36,891.21 -5,114.35 18,161.45 14,831.36 3,330.09

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 24-Nov-2011

 

Buy

Sell

OI (End of day)

Net Position

  Rs (crore) Rs (crore) No. of contracts Rs (crore) Rs (crore)
Index Futures 5220.00 5527.78 505845 11892.78 -307.78
Index Options 22086.85 22007.00 1635014 38889.82 79.85
Stock Futures 7533.00 7228.35 1124275 24631.92 304.65
Stock Options 162.19 145.17 5975 137.63 17.03
Total 35002.04 34908.30 3271109 75552.14 93.74

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