Market may witness positive opening
DSIJ Intelligence / 28 Nov 2011
Morning Update 28thNov 2011
Opening Bias
|
Benchmark Indices | ||
| Index | Closing | % Change |
| SENSEX | 15695.43 | -1.03 |
| NIFTY | 4710.05 | -0.98 |
| Dow Jones | 11231.78 | -0.23 |
| S&P 500 | 1158.67 | -0.27 |
| NASDAQ | 2441.51 | -0.75 |
| Bovespa | 54894.5 | -0.70 |
| FTSE | 5164.65 | 0.72 |
| DAX | 5492.87 | 1.19 |
| CAC | 2856.97 | 1.23 |
| LIVE | ||
| Hang Seng | 18048.01 | 2.03 |
| Nikkei | 8309.91 | 1.84 |
| Shanghai | 2501.97 | 0.36 |
The Asian shares are seen trading in the green in the early morning trades after witnessing a huge sell-off last week in line with the other global markets. Even the US stock futures are trading in the green zone as France and Germany, in tandem with the IMF, have decided to take more stringent and dedicated approaches towards battling out the Euro debt crisis.
|
Currency Rates | ||||
| Rs/$ | Rs/Euro | Rs/GBP | Rs100/JYP | |
| RBI Rate | 52.1665 | 69.4263 | 80.6442 | 67.3900 |
| Future | 52.2875 | 69.2050 | 80.8025 | 67.5300 |
Back home, it may seem that after witnessing a huge sell-off over the past few weeks, the markets may spring back in line to post some positive gains. Most of the large-cap stocks also look very much attractive at cheap valuations. But our advice to investors is to be cautious and not go all out in buying the cheap stocks.
|
Key Global Indicators | ||
| Gold (Rs/10gm) | Crude ($/bbl) | |
| Spot | 28408 | 107.95 |
| % change | - | 1.11 |
| Future | 28420 | 98.4 |
| % change | 0.16 | 1.68 |
One may look towards buying IT, pharma or other export-oriented stocks because at times when the rupee is depreciating against the dollar, it’s the exporters who will do well. But while doing so one must also keep in mind the weakening global consumption scenario.
In conclusion, despite a few positive news flows that are cheering the markets forward we still expect the markets to remain largely volatile as the larger concerns of a weak rupee and an unstable Euro zone crisis still hang over us. Also the FII flows have become a huge cause of concern as they have sold equities worth Rs 5,919 crore in the month of November alone. We advise our readers to maintain a careful watch over the developments.
Stocks In Action
In a bid to achieve its disinvestment target of Rs 40,000 crore for this fiscal, the government is said to be planning to utilise the buy-back route to disinvest a part of its stake in the PSU steel giant SAIL. Under this route the government would raise money by selling its stake back to the PSU itself.
Expect some action in the aviation industry stocks as the top bosses of the Indian air carriers met Prime Minister Manmohan Singh to seek the government’s help for the cash-strapped airline industry, including rationalisation of taxes on jet fuel. More clarity on the outcome of the hour-long meeting is expected to come out during the day.
According to a statement filed with the BSE, both RIL and its associate company RIIL have decided to jointly terminate their negotiations for acquiring Bharti’s 74 per cent stake in Bharti AXA Life Insurance and Bharti AXA General Insurance. The reasons cited were that both the parties were unable to reach an agreement on the long-term vision and joint governance of the ventures. This latest announcement of scrapping the deal has now put a shadow over RIL’s proposed plan to enter into the financial services’ business. With its oil & gas business already in doldrums, this latest announcement will further hurt the investors’ sentiments, which are already believed to be bearish on this counter.
Corporate Action
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BSE Institutional Turnover | ||||||
|
|
FII |
DII | ||||
| Trade Date | Buy | Sales | Net | Buy | Sales | Net |
| 25-Nov-11 | 1,410.60 | 2,215.60 | -805.00 | 1,763.47 | 726.92 | 1,036.55 |
| 24-Nov-11 | 2,072.95 | 3,709.03 | -1,636.08 | 1,908.66 | 860.91 | 1,047.75 |
| 23-Nov-11 | 1,776.24 | 2,962.66 | -1,186.42 | 1,794.71 | 868.55 | 926.16 |
| Nov , 11 | 33,187.46 | 39,106.82 | -5,919.36 | 19,924.92 | 15,558.27 | 4,366.65 |
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FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 25-Nov-2011 | |||||
|
|
Buy |
Sell |
OI (End of day) |
Net Position | |
| Rs (crore) | Rs (crore) | No. of contracts | Rs (crore) | Rs (crore) | |
| Index Futures | 1765.30 | 1997.57 | 532860 | 12363.61 | -232.27 |
| Index Options | 12880.50 | 12381.93 | 1743588 | 41067.43 | 498.57 |
| Stock Futures | 1589.09 | 1537.13 | 1140241 | 24726.50 | 51.96 |
| Stock Options | 212.97 | 181.58 | 14505 | 330.89 | 31.39 |
| Total | 16447.87 | 16098.21 | 3431194 | 78488.43 | 349.65 |
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