Indian Markets Cheer Government's Bold Decision

DSIJ Intelligence / 24 May 2012

The Indian markets have given a thumbs-up to the government’s bold decision to give its informal nod to the increase in the retail petrol prices. The Sensex closed at 16222.3, up by 274 points or 1.74%, while the Nifty closed at 4921.4, up by 85.75 points or 1.77%.

The Indian markets have given a thumbs-up to the government’s bold decision to go ahead and give its informal nod to the domestic oil refiners to increase the retail petrol prices and recoup their losses on unsubsidised and decontrolled fuel. The Sensex closed at 16222.3, up by 274 points or 1.74%, while the Nifty closed at 4921.4, up by 85.75 points or 1.77%. This recent hike in retail petrol prices has also raised hope in the markets that a consideration for hike in diesel and LPG prices could be on the agenda very soon.

The peer Asian markets, however, closed on a mixed note today. This was after data showed Chinese manufacturing activity slowing down at a faster pace in May 2012 than in April 2012, as conditions for exporters worsened during the month, according to the preliminary findings of a survey by HSBC. The reading of the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index dropped to 48.7 in May 2012 from a final print of 49.3 in April 2012.

In Europe, bargain hunters stepped in to pick up the beaten-down bank and energy stocks, helping investors shake off the downbeat economic data and a disappointing European Union leaders meeting.

Dow Jones Futures is currently trading 33 points or 0.27% higher at 1220, indicating a sideways opening to the US markets. Investors there are in anticipation of reports that may show a climb in the orders for durable goods and the initial jobless claims held steady in the world’s largest economy.

Benchmark Indices

Index

Closing

% Change

SENSEX

16222.3

1.72

NIFTY

4921.4

1.77

Hang Seng

18666.4

-0.64

Nikkei

8563.68

0.08

Shanghai

2350.97

-0.53

Live

FTSE

5340.08

1.40

DAX

6326.19

0.64

CAC

3034.52

1.04

Back home, among the sectoral indices, Bankex was the winner, rallying by a hefty 2.3%. The Oil & Gas index was also up by nearly 2% owing to a spurt in the shares of ONGC, Oil India and Petronet LNG. ONGC and Oil India surged as concerns about their subsidy sharing burden eased following reports that the government will discuss raising diesel and LPG prices soon, in line with the petrol price hike. OMCs, however, reversed their initial gains, as reports came in that the government may direct PSU OMCs to partially roll back the steep hike in petrol prices.

IT company, Tech Mahindra, emerged as the top gainer today. Its shares rallied by nearly 9% after the company announced a better-than-expected Mar 2012 quarter performance. Bharti Airtel, India's largest listed telecom services provider by subscribers, surged over 5% after the company said that it has signed an agreement with Qualcomm to acquire an interest in Qualcomm Asia Pacific's Indian BWA entities. BHEL declined as the company's order backlog declined 18% to Rs 134681 crore as on Mar 31, 2012 from Rs 164130 crore as on Mar 31, 2011. The Auto shares were a mixed fare. Banking and Telecom stocks rose. Among the 30-share Sensex pack, 25 advanced while the rest declined. The shares of HDFC (up 4.45%), ICICI Bank (up 3.22%) and Hindalco Industries (up 3.21%) edged higher.

Advance-Decline Table

Index

Advances

Declines

Unchanged

BSE 30

24

6

0

BSE 100

79

21

0

BSE 200

144

55

1

BSE 500

330

160

10

Others

1212

982

116


Sectoral Indices

Category/Index

Close

Change(Pts)

Change (%)

Broad

MIDCAP

5,874.78

44.56

0.76

SMLCAP

6,284.84

46.61

0.75

BSE-100

8,500.36

131.63

1.57

BSE-200

1,998.01

29.4

1.49

BSE-500

6,263.39

87

1.41

Sectors

 

 

 

BANKEX

10,865.64

247.55

2.33

OIL&GAS

7,582.75

147.5

1.98

TECk

3,206.50

47.06

1.49

METAL

9,996.31

134.22

1.36

PSU

6,693.66

81.86

1.24

AUTO

9,243.21

103.12

1.13

CG

8,784.46

81.8

0.94

POWER

1,783.17

16.39

0.93

IT

5,525.98

45.93

0.84

REALTY

1,563.88

10.68

0.69

HC

6,648.70

36.33

0.55

CD

6,318.38

23.2

0.37

FMCG

4,611.39

14.12

0.31


The market breadth, which indicates the overall health of the market, was positive for today. On the BSE, 1789 shares advanced, 1224 shares declined and 127 shares were unchanged. The total turnover on the BSE amounted to Rs 1938 crore, higher than Rs 1821.04 crore clocked on Wednesday, May 23, 2012.

In conclusion, we expect the markets to remain positive for a while. The arrival of the monsoon rains over the Andaman Sea and the hopes of improvement in the government's weak finances in case of a hike in diesel and cooking gas prices suggest a revival in the mood on the streets. However, if the hike in diesel and LPG prices does not come through, the markets would remain under pressure. We advise investors to play the markets with caution. The recent positive developments are a mere step towards economic growth, and we are yet a long way away from achieving the goal.


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