May Mayhem..Market Ends Lower

Vidrum / 01 Jun 2012

The week finally ended on a negative note with the markets falling by 1.6 per cent. Also, the month of May was one of worst months as the broader markets plunged by more than 7 per cent in the last one month. 
The week had a few major news developments, one of which was the declaration of the GDP numbers for the March quarter and also for the full financial year 2011-12 while the second one was of the new telecom policy. Coupled with the above news we had the (F&O) May expiry on Thursday which kept the market a little nervous. The week finally ended on a negative note with the markets falling by 1.6 per cent. Also, the month of May was one of worst months as the broader markets plunged by more than 7 per cent in the last one month. 

Benchmark Indices
Index25-May-121-Jun-12% Change
SENSEX 16,217.82 15965.16 -1.56
NIFTY 4,920.40 4841.6 -1.60
Hang Seng 18,713.41 18558.34 -0.83
Nikkei 8,580.39 8440.25 -1.63
Shanghai 2,333.55 2373.44 1.71
Dow Jones* 12529.75 12393.45 -1.09
S&P 500* 1320.68 1310 -0.81
NASDAQ* 2839.38 2827.34 -0.42
Bovespa* 54063.29 54490 0.79
FTSE* 5350.05 5320 -0.56
DAX* 6315.89 6264 -0.82
CAC* 3038.26 3017 -0.70
* Closing till Thursday

The gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the March 2012 quarter came in at 5.3 per cent, much below the street expectation of 6.1 per cent, and continued on its declining trend for eight consecutive quarters. As for the full year FY12, the GDP growth came in at 6.5 per cent as compared to 8.4 per cent growth as seen in FY11. The decline in growth by 190 basis points clearly indicates that the Indian economy is facing serious headwinds and is moving on a slow growth track. Now all eyes would be on the Reserve Bank of India’s mid-quarter review of the monetary policy for 2012-13, which is scheduled for June 18, 2012.

Further, the new telecom policy lent some cheer to the markets. The policy has proposed to de-link the spectrum from licenses, reduce the number of licenses, give the industry liberal merger and acquisition norms and remove the burden of roaming charges from the consumers.

On the global front, developed markets like that of the US and Europe also posted weak performances in the last week. Dow Jones, S&P and the other European markets like FTSE, CAC and DAX traded lower in the range of almost 1 per cent. This was on the back of dismal data of the US, jobless data and on the back of fear that the European debt crisis may worsen from here on. Also, there are reports that Greece might exit from the euro zone and the fears of new problems have started in Spain, thus adding more worries across the world. While the other Asian markets like Hang Seng and Nikkei closed in the negative territory, Shanghai closed the week higher by almost 1.7 per cent. The Chinese markets traded higher during the week after investors and traders speculated that the government may ease liquidity in order to boost the country’s growth.

Sectoral Indices 
Category/Index25-May-121-Jun-12% Change
Broad
MIDCAP 5,900.51 5,821.63 -1.34
SMLCAP 6,318.33 6,194.44 -1.96
BSE-100 8,509.97 8,372.49 -1.62
BSE-200 2,000.57 1,969.54 -1.55
BSE-500 6,272.97 6,177.22 -1.53
Sectors
AUTO 9,238.89 8,680.30 -6.05
BANKEX 10,899.21 10,684.62 -1.97
CD 6,300.56 6,155.76 -2.30
CG 8,862.84 8,553.10 -3.49
FMCG 4,590.25 4,591.16 0.02
HC 6,640.08 6,556.96 -1.25
IT 5,523.09 5,552.27 0.53
METAL 10,088.61 9,934.86 -1.52
OIL&GAS 7,577.63 7,427.61 -1.98
POWER 1,784.70 1,768.73 -0.89
PSU 6,728.93 6,664.36 -0.96
REALTY 1,572.27 1,552.70 -1.24
TECk 3,207.85 3,217.23 0.29

Back home, auto indices was the major one to slide this week as it ended the week down by 6 per cent. This was after the oil marketing companies hiked the petrol prices by Rs 7.5 per litre last week, creating speculation among investors that the demand for the vehicles may remain muted going ahead which will impact the overall growth for the sector. Other indices like capital goods, consumer durables and Bankex also closed lower in the range of 2 to 3.5 per cent. Meanwhile, the depreciation of the rupee helped the IT companies and resulted in the IT index to climb higher by 0.53 per cent.

Top Gainers/Losers
GainersCMP% Change (WoW)LosersCMP% Change (WoW)
Indrapra G 249.35 20.66  Tata Motor 224.5 -16.65 
NeyveliLig 85.25 20.07  Suzlon 17.55 -15.83 
Guj Gas Co 333.55 12.90  AurobndoPh 104.95 -10.15 
GSPL 70.5 12.26  Adani Powe 45.7 -10.04 
Adani Port 124.65 9.34  Sun TV 226.7 -9.70 
Adani Port 167.4 9.06  United Spi 582.65 -8.97 
Petronet L 139.4 7.31  Hexaware 115 -8.29 
GMDC 175.5 7.21  TTK Presti 2708.2 -8.26 
GSK Consum 2750 6.37  Engineers 211.4 -7.75 
UltraTechC 1457.3 5.64  Pantaloon 138.85 -7.65 

Among the individual stocks, Tata Motors was the biggest index loser - down by 16.65 per cent to Rs 224.5 after reports that the JLR segment had posted lower margins. After the company posted its result, many of the research houses further downgraded the scrip resulting into a free fall during the week. Aurobindo Pharma also plunged by 10 per cent to Rs 105 after the company reported dismal March quarter numbers. For the March quarter of 2012, the company reported a 14 per cent drop in net profit to Rs 108 crore and for FY12 it incurred a loss of Rs 124 crore. TTK Prestige also closed lower by 8 per cent and continued its losing trend, slipping from the high level of Rs 3,655 in early May to the level of Rs 2,708 as of now. The other losing stocks included Pantaloon, Suzlon, Sun TV and Hexaware which were down in the range of 7 to 16 per cent.

On the other hand, Indraprastha Gas closed the week higher by 21 per cent to Rs 249.35 after the High Court gave a decision in the company’s favour against Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Authority (PNGRB). The scrip actually rallied in the last half an hour of Friday’s trade and closed higher by almost 29 per cent. Other gas companies like Gujarat Gas, GSPL, etc also joined the party and closed up by 13 and 12 per cent respectively. Other stocks like Neyveli Lignite, Adani Port and Adani Port also closed he week higher by more than 9 per cent.

In conclusion, we expect the market to remain volatile for the next week. We advise investors to remain cautious and adopt a ‘wait and watch’ approach.

Currency Rate
Index25-May-121-Jun-12% Change
USD 55.43 56.355 1.68
EURO 69.65 69.39 -0.37
GBP 86.89 86.2 -0.79
JYP (per 100) 69.62 72.06 3.50

Key Global Indicators
Index25-May-121-Jun-12% Change
Gold 28785 28,944 0.55
Silver 54141 55,330 2.20
Crude Oil (Brent) 106.96 100.03 -6.48
Crude Oil (Nymex) 90.95 85.07 -6.47

Institutional Turnover
DateFIIDII
28-May-12 108.89 167.7
29-May-12 90.5 -199.4
30-May-12 -10.75 -182.6
31-May-12 -665.76 -266.38
Total -477.12 -480.68

Volumes (Rs.cr)
DateBSENSE
28-May-12 1595 7387
29-May-12 1749 8510
30-May-12 1737 9062
31-May-12 1783 16178

If you want to stay updated with the share market news today, keep a close watch on the indian stock market today with real time movements like sensex today live and overall stock market today trends. Investors tracking ipo allotment status, ipo news today, or the latest ipo india can also follow daily updates along with bse share price live data. Whether you are learning how to invest in stock market in india, preparing for a market crash today, or searching for the best stocks to buy in india, insights on top gainers today india, top losers today india, trending stocks india and long term stocks india help in making informed investment decisions.