Markets Plunge On RBI's Monetary Stance

Chandrakant / 18 Jun 2012

After opening on a positive note, the Indian markets reversed their intraday gains in the afternoon trade post the RBI’s unexpected move of keeping the Repo rate and CRR unchanged.

After opening on a positive note, the Indian markets reversed their intraday gains in the afternoon trade post the RBI’s unexpected move of keeping the Repo rate and CRR unchanged. High retail inflation continues to worry the central banker, and any rate cut would only make it things difficult to contain inflation, which is the central bank's priority. The bank's move has come against the street's expectations, dampening the sentiments and drag the markets down today. The Sensex and Nifty closed lower by 1.44% and 1.46% respectively.

The RBI also stated that factors other than interest rates are contributing more significantly to the growth slowdown. In a statement released after the policy meet, the bank stated that global macro-economic and financial conditions have deteriorated in the last six months. At the same time, the domestic macro-economic situation too raises several concerns. While growth in 2011-12 has moderated significantly, based on the consumer price index (CPI), the inflation for May 2012 rose to 10.36% from 10.26% in April.

From the RBI's statement, it is clear that any rate cut will only happen when inflation cools off.  Future actions will depend on a continuing assessment of external and domestic developments that contribute to lowering the inflation risk.

The peer Asian markets closed on a positive note today on the back of favourable news on the Greek elections.

The European markets also continue to trade in the positive territory after the election results in Greece. The markets expect that the New Democracy and Pasok parties will probably join hands to hold majority, which is in favour of the bailout plan. Moreover, concerns over Greece exiting the Euro zone too have faded with the election results. The FTSE, CAC and DAX are trading higher with gains of 0.48%, 0.45% and 0.87% respectively.

Dow Jones Futures is currently trading 36 points or 0.28% down at 12674, indicating a negative sentiment in the US markets.

Benchmark Indices
IndexClosing% Change
SENSEX 16705.33 -1.44
NIFTY 5064.25 -1.46
Hang Seng  19,427.81 1.00
Nikkei  8721.08 1.74
Shanghai  2316.05 0.40
Live
FTSE 5496.3 0.32
DAX 6272.32 0.68
CAC 3093 0.17

Back home, the status quo on the RBI's part has hurt the interest rate-sensitive sectors. Bankex and Realty are the greatest losers among the BSE sectoral indices, both ending lower by 3.16% and 2.78% respectively. All the other indices are down in the range of 0.12%-1.5%.

The market breadth, which indicates the overall health of the market, was negative today. Out of the 3138 stocks traded on the BSE, 1968 declined, 1050 advanced and 120 were unchanged.

Sectoral Indices
Category/IndexCloseChange(Pts)Change (%)
Broad
MIDCAP 5,895.36 -63.14 -1.06
SMLCAP 6,307.09 -44.35 -0.70
BSE-100 5,053.43 -77.73 -1.51
BSE-200 2,044.60 -30.16 -1.45
BSE-500 6,396.60 -90.53 -1.40
Sectors      
CD 6,131.99 10.03 0.16
AUTO 9,155.05 -58.75 -0.64
HC 6,534.64 -45.57 -0.69
IT 5,717.12 -48.38 -0.84
OIL&GAS 7,755.06 -69.85 -0.89
TECk 3,311.44 -30.72 -0.92
METAL 10,289.91 -104.98 -1.01
CG 9,425.69 -101.65 -1.07
POWER 1,839.91 -23.96 -1.29
PSU 6,899.41 -97.5 -1.39
FMCG 4,757.67 -81.2 -1.68
REALTY 1,577.78 -45.08 -2.78
BANKEX 11,220.87 -365.78 -3.16

Advance-Decline Table
IndexAdvancesDeclinesUnchanged
BSE 30 2 28 0
BSE 200 38 161 1
BSE 100 13 87 0
BSE 500 120 371 9
Others 877 1321 110

We expect the markets to remain negative for tomorrow as the slowing GDP growth will continue to keep the sentiments weak. This may continue until we see some major reforms or rate cuts.

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