Market May Open Negative Today

DSIJ Intelligence / 10 Aug 2012

The Indian markets may open on negative note ahead in line with the global cues. The SGX Nifty is down by 9.50 points at 5,348, indicating a negative gap down opening to the markets today.

The Indian markets may open on negative note ahead in line with the global cues. The SGX Nifty is down by 9.50 points at 5,348, indicating a negative gap down opening to the markets today.

Benchmark Indices
IndexClosing% Change
SENSEX 17560 -0.23
NIFTY 5322 -0.28
Dow Jones 13,165 -0.08
S&P 500 1402 0.04
NASDAQ 3018 0.24
Bovespa 58797 -0.26
FTSE 5,851 0.1
DAX 6964 -0.02
CAC 3456 0.53
..    
Hang Seng 20192 -0.35
Nikkei 8925 -0.6
Shanghai 2173 -0.03

The Indian markets witnessed a lacklustre trading session yesterday as the broader indices closed lower by 0.23 per cent. Nifty has been hovering around the 5,300 level mark while the Sensex closed near the 17,560 level. Yesterday the Indian markets opened on a strong note but lost all the gains immediately after the announcement of the June IIP numbers. Further, major heavyweights such as RIL, SBI and Bharti Airtel dragged the markets into the negative zone during the late hours of the trading session. The IIP numbers for the month of June showed de-growth of 1.8 per cent - quite below the market expectations. A major decline was witnessed in the capital goods and manufacturing sectors which form an integral part of the growth in economy. 

The Asian markets, continuing their positive streak yesterday, closed on a higher note. This was on the back of mixed Chinese data which kept hopes alive for policy action needed to tackle the slowdown. Hang Seng, Nikkei and Shanghai finished up by 1.01 per cent, 1.09 per cent and 0.60 per cent respectively. Investors are also quite hopeful about the central banks announcing stimulus measures.

Overnight, the U.S. stock markets closed on a mixed note and the S&P 500 closed with marginal gains to maintain its longest winning run since March after the U.S. data proved better than expected. The European stocks too closed on a mixed note and the overall sentiments remained positive in the markets. All the global markets are now focusing on the ECB, China and the U.S. Federal Reserve to announce some stimulus measures to keep the world economy out of any major crisis. There was some optimism after China’s inflation data came in with better than expected figures, suggesting that the central bank has ample scope to ease the policy again after rate cuts in June and July to keep the world’s second-biggest economy on track to meet an official 2012 growth target of 7.5 per cent. 

On the Indian turf the rupee in the last two days has gained some strength against the dollar and closed at the Rs 55.17 level. However, it continues to be above the comfort zone and remains a cause for concern for companies and government agencies that are dependent on imports. Meanwhile, with a positive slew of data coming from the U.S. region, the London Brent crude oil price is continuously inching higher to levels touching its two-month high of USD 113 per barrel. 

Currency Rates
 Rs/$Rs/EuroRs/GBPRs100/JYP
RBI Rate 55.17 68.26 86.42 70.28
Future 55.41 68.21 86.63 70.69

Key Global Indicators
 Gold (Rs/10gm)Crude ($/bbl)
Spot 29751 113.2
% change - -0.15
Future 29972 93.38
% change 0.25 0.02

In conclusion, for today we expect the markets to operate with a negative bias on the back of weak global cues. Moody, while blaming the government, has revised the country’s GDP growth downward to 5.5 per cent in 2012-13. Also, the Asian markets, after going through a rally throughout this week, are seen to be struggling for traction today and have opened on a negative note on the back of the earnings’ issue of companies in Japan.  However, the optimism is still strong about the stimulus measures  yet to be announced by the major central banks.And we may continue to see some positive momentum in the coming days. 

  FII   DII  
Trade Date Buy Sales Net Buy Sales Net
7-Aug-12 2455.56 1639.61 815.94 1234.5 1179.26 55.25
8-Aug-12 2751.6 1637.39 1114.2 928.83 1723.53 -794.71
9-Aug-12 2272.94 1935.8 337.14 989.78 1744.18 -754.4
Total Aug 12 14,395.54 10,782.24 3,613.29 6,486.20 8,658.39 -2,172.18


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