Markets To Open On A Flat Positive Note
DSIJ Intelligence / 11 Oct 2012
The Indian markets may open on a flat positive note ahead in line with the global cues. The SGX Nifty is marginally up by 5.5 points at 5,665, indicating a flattish gap up opening to the markets today.
The Indian markets may open on a flat positive note ahead in line with the global cues. The SGX Nifty is marginally up by 5.5 points at 5,665, indicating a flattish gap up opening to the markets today.
| Benchmark Indices | ||
|---|---|---|
| Index | Closing | % Change |
| SENSEX | 18631.1 | -0.86 |
| NIFTY | 5652.15 | -0.92 |
| Dow Jones | 13,344.97 | -0.96 |
| S&P 500 | 1,432.56 | -0.62 |
| NASDAQ | 3,051.78 | -0.43 |
| Bovespa | 58456.95 | -0.82 |
| FTSE | 5,777 | -0.58 |
| DAX | 7,205.23 | -0.41 |
| CAC | 3,365.87 | -0.50 |
| .. | ||
| Hang Seng | 20973.99 | 0.26 |
| Nikkei | 8579.57 | -0.2 |
| Shanghai | 2113.97 | -0.28 |
The Indian markets witnessed a negative trading session yesterday as the broader indices closed lower by almost 1 per cent. Nifty closed well near the 5,652 mark while the Sensex also sailed lower, closing at the sub 18,631 level, below the 19,000 mark. This was on the back of negative global cues which remained gloomy after a subdued start to the U.S. reporting season. Further, after a cut in GDP growth announced by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), most of the global markets have been looking nervous. IMF has revised the growth downwards for developed nations like the U.S. and Europe too. In case of India, the growth has been significantly lowered by 130 basis points to 4.9 per cent for the fiscal, which is probably the lowest in the decade.
Overnight the U.S. stock markets fell sharply as investors braced themselves for earnings reported by the major companies even as the IMF cut the global growth outlook. Investors became concerned after America’s largest aluminum maker Alcoa cut its demand forecasts and oil major Chevron Corp issued a profit warning. The European markets too dropped as the IMF issued a warning about the impact of the Eurozone debt crisis and as Greece’s equity benchmark fell by 3.5 per cent. The markets were also dragged lower by the expectation of weak corporate earnings in the region after a subdued start to the American reporting season.
Also, yesterday Standard & Poor’s cut Spain’s credit rating by two notches to just one level above speculative or ‘junk’ grade with a negative outlook, citing mounting risks to the country’s public finances. The slow progress towards a bailout for Spain would have played a major role in the decision, a factor that is also weighing heavily on the general market sentiment.
Back home the rupee for the third consecutive day has fallen against the dollar. Yesterday it was down by 0.18 per cent and trading at Rs 53.04 against a dollar after creating fresh high of Rs 51.20 last week. The Brent crude oil price too rose on Wednesday to USD 115 per barrel. The crude oil prices are inching backwards above the comfort zone of the Indian economy, which is a factor contributing to the rising inflation level and higher fiscal deficit.
| Currency Rates | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rs/$ | Rs/Euro | Rs/GBP | Rs100/JYP | |
| RBI Rate | 53.04 | 68.21 | 84.83 | 67.82 |
| Future | 53.22 | 68.44 | 85.09 | 67.93 |
| Key Global Indicators | ||
|---|---|---|
| Gold (Rs/10gm) | Crude ($/bbl) | |
| Spot | 31269 | 114.77 |
| % change | - | 0.28 |
| Future | 31456 | 91.47 |
| % change | 0.01 | 0.23 |
One should watch out for stocks like Gruh Finance, Sintex Industries, Electrosteel Cast and GM Breweries that are going to post their September quarter results today. These stocks may see a price movement.
The Asian markets have opened on a negative note today and Japan’s Nikkei share average fell by 0.6 per cent in the early trading sessions on concerns that the upcoming corporate earnings will be weak after the American results season got off to a slow start. Also, with a downgrading of Spain’s credit rating, the negative sentiment among investors has inched higher.
In conclusion, for today we expect the markets to remain Flat and volatile ahead of the earnings season and the IIP numbers that will announced tomorrow. The earnings season will actually be kicked off from tomorrow onward with the result announcement of the major bellwethers HDFC Bank and Infosys. Investors, meanwhile, are jittery due to the weak global scenario and the earnings season forecast.
| FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 10-Oct-2012 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY | SELL | OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY | ||||
| No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | |
| INDEX FUTURES | 48973 | 1211.69 | 83205 | 2224.05 | 576368 | 15422.53 |
| INDEX OPTIONS | 469698 | 13341.27 | 460624 | 13101.70 | 1703342 | 48136.67 |
| STOCK FUTURES | 30105 | 909.86 | 44094 | 1334.17 | 1013906 | 29599.29 |
| STOCK OPTIONS | 50888 | 1587.53 | 51867 | 1626.74 | 79277 | 2448.60 |
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