Global Factors Sway Corporate Results; Markets Looking For Fresh Triggers

DSIJ Intelligence / 09 Nov 2012

The Indian markets closed the week flat, red. It has moved in tandem with its developed as well as emerging peers.

The Indian markets closed the week flat, red. It has moved in tandem with its developed as well as emerging peers. The key global indices have ended in the negative territory.

Benchmark Indices
Index9-Nov-122-Nov-12% Change
SENSEX 18,683.68 18,755.45 -0.38
NIFTY 5686.25 5697.7 -0.20
Hang Seng 21,384.38 22,111.33 -3.29
Nikkei 8,757.60 9,051.22 -3.24
Shanghai 2,069.07 2,117.05 -2.27
Dow Jones* 12,811.32 13,232.62 -3.18
S&P 500* 1,377.51 1,427.59 -3.51
NASDAQ* 2,895.58 3,020.06 -4.12
Bovespa* 57524.45 58382.68 -1.47
FTSE* 5,765.42 5,847.49 -1.40
DAX* 7,160.07 7,336.35 -2.40
CAC* 3,402.60 3,468.08 -1.89
* closing till Thursday

With the RBI monetary policy already announced and the results season also nearing an end, the markets have started to look out for fresh triggers. The corporate results, which have been above the street’s expectations, have not been able to create a buzz in the markets either. Rather, they have remained subdued following the global peers.The markets are now looking forward to the winter session of Parliament that is scheduled to start in the last week of November. They are keenly anticipating the safe passage of the reforms initiated by the Finance Minister. Next week, the markets will also take cues from the WPI numbers that are due to come in on November 14.

On the global front, the elapsed week saw the re-election of Barack Obama as the 44th president of the United States of America. However, his re-election has not been received well by the markets there, and the Nasdaq and Dow Jones are below the 3,000 and 13,000 mark respectively. In the other part of the globe, the European stocks have tumbled, heading for their biggest weekly decline since September. This is amid concerns that the so-called “fiscal cliff” of automatic spending cuts and tax increases may push the world’s largest economy into a recession.

On the Asian front, China has begun its process of handing over the power baton. On the data front, next week we have the industrial production data due in the U.S.

Currency Rate
Index9-Nov-122-Nov-12% Change
USD 54.34 53.66 -1.26%
EURO 69.43 69.24 -0.27%
GBP 86.97 83.37 -4.32%
JYP (per 100) 68.31 66.85 -2.18%

Last week, the INR witnessed a mild depreciation as compared to the USD. When compared to other currencies also, the INR has remained a bit weak.

Key Commodity Indicators
Index9-Nov-122-Nov-12% Change
Gold 31626 30861 2.48
Silver 60,437.00 59,347.00 1.84
Crude Oil (Brent) 107.36 108.17 -0.75
Crude Oil (WTI) 85.18 86.93 -2.01

Crude witnessed flat movement in its prices in the same period. It closed at USD 107.36 per barrel, declining by 0.75%. On the other hand, with Diwali at our doorstep, precious metals witnessed better gains. Gold and silver closed the week higher by 2.48% and 1.84% respectively.

Sectoral Indices
Category/Index9-Nov-122-Nov-12% Change
Broad
MIDCAP 6660.68 6645.45 0.23
SMLCAP 7069.65 7064.38 0.07
BSE-100 5702.92 5705.91 -0.05
BSE-200 2309.01 2310.23 -0.05
BSE-500 7218.32 7220.81 -0.03
Sectoral Indices
FMCG 5785.32 5683.8 1.79
CD 7356.53 7378.03 -0.29
BANKEX 13186.94 13163.28 0.18
TECk 3352.73 3366.09 -0.40
AUTO 10718.13 10690.67 0.26
IT 5756.34 5798.83 -0.73
PSU 7167.82 7231.74 -0.88
HC 7752.75 7714.98 0.49
POWER 1966.31 1987.73 -1.08
CG 10869.04 11114.67 -2.21
OIL&GAS 8185.94 8367.88 -2.17
REALTY 1905.44 1812.78 5.11
METAL 10134.4 10315.12 -1.75

Back in India, in the broader market, most of the indices have closed the week on a flattish note. The BSE Midcap and the BSE Smallcap closed marginally in the green. On a sectoral basis, 8 of the 13 indices have closed in the red. The BSE Realty Index has been able to secure the top spot, with a gain of more than 5%. The second and the third spots went to the BSE FMCG and BSE HC indices that went up by 1.79% and 0.49% respectively. The main dragger for the week was the BSE CG Index, which closed the week with a decline of 2.21%, followed by the BSE Oil & Gas (-2.17%) and the BSE Metal Index (-1.75%).

GainersLosers
ScripLTP (Rs)Change (%)ScripLTP (Rs)Change (%)
Varun Indu 26.85 49.58 BBAYBURMAH 114.75 -80.95
Prajay Eng 12.8 46.29 Nucent Fin 3.1 -35.42
Cinemax 19.45 45.15 Northgate 2.30 -26.98
Paramnt Co 2.55 41.67 Zylog Syst 88.5 -26.65
Morarjee T 12.75 37.84 Crest Anim 16.25 -22.8
CinemaxInd 137.05 37.32 Sujana Uni 2.3 -20.69
Allsec Tec 51.55 27.28 DCM 80.75 -20.6
SambandamS 88.3 26.41 Parabo.Dru 19.3 -20.08
Eletro The 59.6 26 Ind Swift 13.85 -19.94
CompucomSo 14.6 25.32 Pradip Ove 36.75 -19.41

The money inflows remained a bit muted this week. FIIs pumped in Rs 2589 crore in equities during this period, taking the toll to Rs 96642 crore for the present calendar year. DIIs ended the week in the red, selling off equities worth Rs 363 crore.

The markets are eyeing the winter session of the Parliament for the successful implementation of the reforms processes that have been initiated after a long haul as the next big trigger. The money inflows that have remained strong signify the confidence that the overseas investors have in the Indian markets. We hope to see a smart rally going ahead. We, at Dalal Street Investment Journal, wish all our readers a very happy and prosperous Diwali.

Institutional Turnover (Rs / Cr)
DateFIIDII
1-Nov-12 416 72
2-Nov-12 782 12
5-Nov-12 413 -89
6-Nov-12 233 -235
7-Nov-12 745 -123
Total 2589 -363

Volumes (Rs.cr)
DateBSENSE
2-Nov-12 2193 10289
5-Nov-12 1703 7761
6-Nov-12 2269 9455
7-Nov-12 2329 11070
8-Nov-12 2607 11133

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