Markets See Flat Weekly Close; Global Developments To Be Watched

DSIJ Intelligence / 28 Dec 2012

The Indian markets closed on a positive note this week. The Sensex and the Nifty gained more than 1% each. Despite the positive closing, though, the week has been fairly lacklustre.

The Indian markets closed on a positive note this week. The Sensex and the Nifty gained more than 1% each. Despite the positive closing, though, the week has been fairly lacklustre.

Benchmark Indices
Index28-Dec-1221-Dec-12% Change
SENSEX 19444.84 19242 1.05
NIFTY 5908.35 5847.7 1.04
Hang Seng 22666.59 22506.29 0.71
Nikkei 10395.18 9940.06 4.58
Shanghai 2233.25 2153.31 3.71
Dow Jones* 13096.31 13311.72 -1.62
S&P 500* 1418.1 1443.69 -1.77
NASDAQ* 2985.91 3050.39 -2.11
Bovespa* 60415.95 61276.12 -1.40
FTSE* 5952.32 5920.27 0.54
DAX* 7633.49 7629.58 0.05
CAC* 3647.3 3649.85 -0.07
* closing till Thursday

There has been dearth of events or triggers in the week. Earlier, the RBI’s monetary policy review and the winter session of Parliament held some hope for the markets, but these soon fizzled out. Apart from the December series expiry on Thursday, December 27, there was nothing in the offing for the markets in the week gone by. On the rollover front, the Nifty has shown less than average rollover in this series with a fall in open interest. The index saw a rollover of 61.58% as against the 3-month average of 66.29%.

At the current prices, the oil marketing companies have an under-recovery of Rs 9.28 per litre on diesel. To tackle the deficit, the government has decided to raise the diesel prices by Re 1 per litre every month for the next 10 months and the price of kerosene by Rs 10 per litre over the next two years. If this materialises, it will bring some relief to the ailing oil marketing companies. The Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Singh has also supported the hike in tariffs by power companies. This may bring in some cheer for the power sector in the long run.

On the global front, the US markets remained closed on December 25th due to Christmas and the European indices remained closed for the first three days of the week. The next development being eagerly awaited now is the outcome of the US ‘fiscal cliff’ on December 31. On Friday, December 28, the European (SXXP) stocks saw a decline on concerns that the US lawmakers will fail to reach a budget agreement within the year-end deadline on measures to avoid a fiscal crisis next year. The US President Barack Obama has summoned both Republican and Democratic leaders to a meeting three days before a year-end deadline to avoid spending cuts and tax increases amounting to a total of USD 600 billion.

Currency Rate
Index28-Dec-1221-Dec-12% Change
USD 54.85 55.09 -0.43
EURO 72.63 72.77 -0.20
GBP 88.40 89.54 -1.27
JYP (per 100) 63.46 65.50 -3.11

Key Commodity Indicators
Index28-Dec-1221-Dec-12% Change
Gold 30728 30646 0.27
Silver 57726 57705 0.04
Crude Oil (Brent) 110.61 109.49 1.02
Crude Oil (WTI) 90.92 89.04 2.11

Naturally, crude oil was also affected by these developments. This key commodity headed for the biggest weekly gain since August 2012, as US lawmakers scheduled talks aimed at averting automatic tax increases and spending cuts that threaten the economy of the world’s largest crude consumer. The precious metals remained flat in the last week. Gold gained 0.27% and silver remained flat.

Sectoral Indices
Category/Index28-Dec-1221-Dec-12% Change
Broad
MIDCAP 7092.94 6997.72 1.36
SMLCAP 7342.2 7325.51 0.23
BSE-100 5972.89 5908.41 1.09
BSE-200 2421.91 2395.72 1.09
BSE-500 7572.36 7492.41 1.07
Sectoral Indices
AUTO 11378.53 11252.9 1.12
BANKEX 14330.47 14151.18 1.27
HC 8127.78 8059.61 0.85
METAL 11041.19 11039.17 0.02
OIL&GAS 8510.52 8339.71 2.05
IT 5686.98 5623.71 1.13
TECk 3429.57 3378.87 1.50
FMCG 5932.07 5924.29 0.13
REALTY 2089.91 2048.55 2.02
PSU 7291.97 7186.81 1.46
CG 10904.63 10735.11 1.58
POWER 1981.6 1948.92 1.68
CD 7657.92 7626.13 0.42

In the broader markets, all the indices closed the week negative. However, the BSE Mid-Cap and BSE Small-Cap both ended in the green. All the 13 sectoral indices have also rounded up the week in gains. The major gainer was the BSE Oil & Gas index, which was higher by over 2%. This was followed by the BSE Realty index (+2.02%) and the BSE Power index (+1.68%).

GainersLTPChange. (%)LosersLTPChange. (%)
EMAMI INFRA30.7525.51BIRLA COTSYN0.15-25
TIMBOR HOME 45.9 23.71 GEODESICINFO 24.4 -19.73
VASWANI IND 5.2 22.35 JIK INDS 2.65 -15.87
VKS PROJECTS 283.7 15.74 KEMROCK INDS 86 -14.21
VAIBHAV GEMS 115.25 15.65 SRI CHAM.SUG 31.45 -14.07
VASCON ENGIN 57 15.61 PIRAMAL LIFE 37.95 -14.04
HIND SYNTEX 5.75 15 GLOBAL VECTR 19.9 -14.03
PREMIER LTD 141.55 14.84 MIDDAYMULTIM 3.9 -13.33
THOMAS SCOTT 11.35 14.64 ELFORGE 6.85 -13.29
INFODRIVSOFT 7.2 14.28 JUPITER BIO 4.95 -13.15

The money inflows from FIIs remained strong during the week. They pumped in Rs 1361 crore into equities, taking the total to 127579 crore for the present calendar year. DIIs ended the week in the red, selling off equities worth Rs 111 crore.

Going forward, the market will take cues more from the global factors rather than the domestic ones. A significant one is the outcome of the US budget talks on the fiscal cliff. Any positive development on this front will certainly invoke good vibes in the markets.

In the next week, the first one of the new year, the markets may witness volatile trades with a positive bias. We hope to see the next year ushering in hope and joy for the equity markets as it has in 2012. We wish all our readers good tidings for 2013.

Institutional Turnover (Rs / Cr)
DateFIIDII
19-Dec-12 1567 -240
20-Dec-12 590 -91
21-Dec-12 974 91
24-Dec-12 3963 -111
26-Dec-12 891 NA
Total 7985 -351

Volumes (Rs.cr)
DateBSENSE
20-Dec-12 2437 11925
21-Dec-12 2226 12063
24-Dec-12 1647 7834
26-Dec-12 2411 9030
27-Dec-12 2520 13809

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