Domestic & Global Markets Soar

DSIJ Intelligence / 10 May 2013

The Indian markets witnessed good movement during the week, with the Sensex and the Nifty crossing the psychological levels of 20k and 6k respectively. The two main indices closed the week with gains of over 2.5% each.

The Indian markets witnessed good movement during the week, with the Sensex and the Nifty crossing the psychological levels of 20k and 6k respectively. The two main indices closed the week with gains of over 2.5% each.

Benchmark Indices
Index3-May-133-May-13% Change
SENSEX 20082.62 19575.64 2.59
NIFTY 6094.75 5944 2.54
Hang Seng 23321.22 22689.96 2.78
Nikkei 14607.54 13694.04 6.67
Shanghai Comp 2246.83 2205.5 1.87
Dow Jones* 15082.62 14831.58 1.69
S&P 500* 1626.67 1597.59 1.82
NASDAQ* 3409.17 3340.62 2.05
Bovespa* 55447.56 55321.93 0.23
FTSE 6627.27 6475.41 2.35
DAX 8313.94 7975.66 4.24
CAC 3958.99 3860.33 2.56

There is a festive mood in the equity markets scenario on a global basis, including India. Factors like declining commodity prices, the liquidity boost from the Japanese and US markets and expectations of strong global economic growth have taken the leading equity indices to their multi-year peaks. The major indices in the US markets, S&P and Dow are also trading at all-time highs. Similar is the story in the European markets FTSE, CAC40 and DAX. Even the Japanese Nikkei is at a five-year peak.

Strong money flows from the US as well as the Japanese markets has been one of the positive factors that have led to this euphoria. The European banks have cut the key interest rates, followed by similar steps in Korea and Australia. The Indian central bank also cut the repo rate by 25 basis points, creating liquidity in the global markets. This was supported by the fall in commodity prices.

On the domestic front, the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for the month of March 2013 has gone up by 2.5% compared to the level seen in March 2012. This is marginally up from the street’s expectation of 2.1% and much higher than the revised figure of 0.46% for February 2013 (from the previously announced 0.6%). The cumulative IIP growth for FY13 stands at just 1.0%, down from that of 2.9% in FY12.

Key Commodity Indicators
Index3-May-133-May-13% Change
Gold 26945 27220 -1.01
Silver 44842 45400 -1.23
Crude Oil (Brent) 103.95 103.18 0.75
Crude Oil (WTI) 95.76 94.24 1.61

West Texas Intermediate crude prices dropped, as rising supplies countered signs of economic growth. Futures slid by as much as 0.8%, as the dollar gained versus the euro, dampening the appeal of commodities priced in the US currency.

Gold prices in India, the world's largest buyer of the metal, closed at Rs 26945. Both gold and silver were down by 1.01% and 1.23% respectively.

Sectoral Indices
Category/Index3-May-133-May-13% Change
Broad
MIDCAP 6519.29 6375.97 2.25
SMLCAP 6166.34 6032.38 2.22
BSE-100 6103.22 5966.27 2.30
BSE-200 2452.19 2398.64 2.23
BSE-500 7579.68 7414.09 2.23
Sectoral Indices
BANKEX 14583.82 14183.6 2.82
CG 9990.78 9964.21 0.27
REALTY 1918.59 1902.66 0.84
FMCG 6855.39 6577.18 4.23
AUTO 11263.33 10831.43 3.99
PSU 6852.98 6808.27 0.66
OIL&GAS 8817.28 8706.8 1.27
POWER 1776.11 1770.06 0.34
CD 7672.11 7421.56 3.38
HC 8768.68 8759.44 0.11
METAL 8785.28 8786.5 -0.01
TECk 3658.13 3563.27 2.66
IT 6072.63 5881.34 3.25

The broader markets closed the week on a positive note. The BSE Mid-Cap closed with gains of 2.25%, while the Small-Cap was up 2.30%. 12 of the 13 sectoral indices finished the week in the positive territory. This main gainer was the BSE FMCG Index, which closed with gains of 4.23%. This was followed by the BSE Auto index (+3.99%) and BSE Consumer Durables (+3.38%). The only dragger for the week was the BSE Metal index, which declined by 0.01%.

Money inflows remained strong, with FIIs buying equities worth Rs 5739 crore. DIIs ended the week in the red, selling off equities worth Rs 1389 crore.

On the results front, the aggregate performance of India Inc. has been better than the street’s expectations so far. The results will continue to drive the future course of the markets going forward too. Therefore, some volatile trades may be witnessed in the next week.

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