Markets Close The Week In Red; Await Monetary Policy Meet

DSIJ Intelligence / 26 Jul 2013

Markets Close The Week In Red; Await Monetary Policy Meet

The Indian markets have been watching the Q1FY14 results closely throughout the week, while continuing to reel under the rupee pressure.

The Indian markets, which are already reeling under the pressure of a depreciating rupee, closed in red this week too. Both the benchmark indices - Sensex and Nifty - closed the week in red, declining by 1.99% and 2.37% respectively.

Benchmark Indices
Index26-Jul-1319-Jul-13% Change
SENSEX 19748.19 20149.85 -1.99
NIFTY 5886.2 6029.2 -2.37
Hang Seng 21968.95 21362.42 2.84
Nikkei 14129.98 14589.91 -3.15
Dow Jones 15555.61 15548.54 0.05
S&P 500 1690.25 1689.37 0.05
NASDAQ 3605.19 3611.28 -0.17
Bovespa 49066.75 47656.92 2.96
FTSE 6576.59 6618.54 -0.63
DAX 8258.39 8333.89 -0.91
CAC 3975.85 3921.36 1.39

The INR has continued to make headlines and has forced the RBI to intervene. The apex bank has taken certain steps to suck out liquidity like. It has tightened money supply and pushed up short-term interest rates to generate demand for the rupee, which hit a record low on July 8. But the RBI's steps have forced the government to pay abnormally high yields to sell its debt - 11% on three-month paper earlier this week.

In the short term, these moves, for obvious reasons, make the cost of rupee funds costlier; thereby helping its stabilisation and marginal appreciation. As a result, the rupee rose to a five-week high as the central bank's aggressive monetary tightening to defend the currency showed some signs of success, while bond market investors demanded higher yields at a government bond auction on Friday.

Apart from this, the Indian pharma sector continues to face woes. After Ranbaxy Labs, a warning letter has been issued to Wockhardt, which has been one of the most underperforming stocks during the week. On the other hand, results of Large-Cap companies like L&T, HUL and Asian Paints have been subdued and have failed to lift market sentiments.

On the global front, US home re-sales fell to 1.2% in June after 2 months of hefty increases, but a surge in prices suggested that housing market recovery remained on course. The US housing price index increased at a slower rate than expected. However, the new home sales have increased and thus emanate positive vibes about the recovery in the world's largest economy.

There is some good news on the European front too as the business confidence rises in France followed by a GDP growth of 1.5% witnessed in Great Britain. The most important bit is the expansion in European manufacturing PMI which stood at 50.1. The manufacturing PMI went above the psychological mark of 50 after many months.

Key Commodity Indicators
Index26-Jul-1319-Jul-13% Change
Gold 27419 26649 2.89
Silver 41221 40202 2.53
Crude Oil (Brent) 107.18 109.03 -1.70
Crude Oil (WTI) 104.76 108.49 -3.44

West Texas Intermediate was poised for the first weekly drop in more than a month amid rising crude output in the US and speculation that China's plans to cut excess manufacturing capacity will curb fuel demand. The precious metals in India witnessed some upmove as both gold and silver closed the week with gains of more than 2.5%.

Sectoral Indices
Category/Index26-Jul-1319-Jul-13% Change
Broad
MIDCAP 5779.6 5993.46 -3.57
SMLCAP 5516.32 5706.48 -3.33
BSE-100 5855.45 6008.8 -2.55
BSE-200 2333.53 2397.9 -2.68
BSE-500 7181.31 7382.82 -2.73
Sectoral Indices
AUTO 10649.82 10686.71 -0.35
BANKEX 11950.47 12543.48 -4.73
CD 6317.35 6352.41 -0.55
CG 8373.66 9320.45 -10.16
FMCG 7279.11 7441.09 -2.18
HC 9185.6 9346.05 -1.72
IT 7241.32 7097.29 2.03
METAL 6978.82 7478.28 -6.68
OIL&GAS 8864.52 9161.16 -3.24
POWER 1584.71 1643.48 -3.58
PSU 5697.87 5944.66 -4.15
REALTY 1421.75 1456.36 -2.38
TECk 4199.71 4127.01 1.76

The broader market closed the week on a negative note. The BSE Mid-Cap closed in red declining by 3.57%, followed by the Small-Cap index which went down by 3.33%. On a sectoral basis, out of the 13 indices, 11 closed in the negative territory. The only 2 gainers this week were the BSE IT index (+2.03%) and the BSE Teck index (+1.76%). The main draggers were the BSE Capital Goods index (-10.16%) followed by the BSE Metal index (-6.68%) and BSE Bankex (-4.73%).

Money inflow remained subdued this week as FIIs and DIIs both ended the week in red, selling equities worth Rs 358 crore and Rs 940 crore respectively. The markets will be eyeing the RBI monetary policy meet scheduled in the next week, and is likely to provide some guidance towards the movement of the markets. In the meanwhile, the Q1FY14 results are also being watched closely. Volatile sessions in the markets in the next week cannot be ruled out.

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