BUY
₹465
₹483.6
₹575
23.66%
Emkay Research’s November 08, 2026 result update on Honasa Consumer retains a BUY recommendation following a strong 2QFY27 performance, which exceeded both Emkay’s and consensus expectations across revenue, EBITDA and adjusted PAT.
Emkay raised its FY27E to FY29E earnings estimates by 5 to 9 per cent, reflecting stronger-than-expected performance from Mamaearth and The Derma Co, alongside higher margin assumptions following several quarters of outperformance. The broker expects sales and earnings CAGR of 18 per cent and 27 per cent, respectively, over FY26 to FY29E.
Emkay increased its target price by 4.5 per cent to Rs 575, based on 50 times September 2028E EPS.
Honasa Consumer reported 2QFY27 revenue of Rs 7,312 million, up 35.9 per cent YoY, driven by 31 per cent volume growth. Revenue was 8 per cent above Emkay’s estimate and 6 per cent above consensus. EBITDA nearly doubled YoY to Rs 922 million, up 93.5 per cent and 18 per cent above Emkay’s estimate. Adjusted PAT rose 84.2 per cent YoY to Rs 723 million and was 14 per cent above Emkay’s estimate.
| Metric | 2QFY27 | YoY change | Against Emkay estimate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Rs 7,312 million | 35.9% growth | 8% above estimate |
| EBITDA | Rs 922 million | 93.5% growth | 18% above estimate |
| Adjusted PAT | Rs 723 million | 84.2% growth | 14% above estimate |
| EBITDA margin | 12.6% | Up 380 bps YoY; down 200 bps QoQ | — |
| Gross margin | 69.9% | Down 60 bps YoY | — |
EBITDA margin expanded 380 basis points YoY to 12.6 per cent, although it declined 200 basis points QoQ from the particularly strong 1QFY27 level. Gross margin declined only 60 basis points YoY to 69.9 per cent despite crude-linked packaging-cost inflation.
Growth was broad based. Focus categories, which account for more than 80 per cent of sales and have about 5 per cent share of an approximately Rs 50,000 crore market, grew more than 40 per cent.
Channel metrics remained favourable, with growth across e-commerce, offline and modern trade. Outlet reach rose 26 per cent YoY to 3.2 lakh outlets.
Management attributed margin expansion to advertising and promotion and channel-mix efficiencies of 250 to 270 basis points, with the mix shifting towards offline and quick commerce. Operating leverage contributed a further 110 to 140 basis points. Advertising and promotion spending was broadly flat as a proportion of sales.
Management expects EBITDA margin to remain around 12.5 per cent in 2HFY27 despite festive activations and reiterated its 15 per cent EBITDA-margin objective over the next four years. It noted that annual margin expansion could be only 50 to 70 basis points in years when it prioritises growth.
Management expects 3QFY27 revenue to be sequentially higher due to seasonality. Price increases have been taken to offset crude-led packaging inflation, which remains a cost pressure and a key factor that could affect gross margins.
| FY27E metric | Revised estimate |
|---|---|
| Revenue | Rs 29,993 million |
| EBITDA | Rs 3,828 million |
| Adjusted PAT | Rs 3,091 million |
| EBITDA margin | 12.8% |
The investment thesis relies on sustained volume-led growth across brands, execution in offline and online channels, and continued operating leverage.
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